UN Climate Change Quarterly Update: Q4 2025
Simon Stiell portrait
Credit: UN Climate Change

Ten years ago, the Paris Agreement was adopted at COP 21. A decade on, it’s clear that this global framework has underpinned a decade of real-world progress, even as much more is still needed.

Without the Paris Agreement, humanity would be headed for unsurvivable temperature rises, of up to five degrees Celsius. But through climate cooperation and national efforts and plans, projected temperatures have now been brought down to around half of that. This still remains far short of what is scientifically required to avert the worst climate impacts, but it also shows just how far humanity has come. Meanwhile in the real economy, renewable energy overtook coal last year as the world’s top energy source, and investment in renewables was double that of fossil fuels.

Similarly, our report on National Adaptation Plans shows that governments are building the foundations for more climate-resilient economies and societies, while Biennial Transparency Reports show Parties are increasingly putting the Paris Agreement into practice.

It is also clear that significantly more support is needed on multiple fronts, particularly by vulnerable developing countries, to ensure all are able to strengthen climate policies and boost implementation. This is vital to protecting all peoples and economies and ensuring all nations can share fully in the vast benefits of bolder climate actions.

The fourth quarter (Q4) of course delivered COP 30 in Belém, where despite strong headwinds, all Parties unanimously agreed that the global transition is now “irreversible” and that the “Paris Agreement is working” and resolved to make it go further and faster.

We of course fully acknowledge that as at every COP, some Parties wanted the COP 30 negotiated outcomes to go further, and we understand the frustrations involved in reaching unanimous word-by-word agreement among nearly 200 countries. At the same time, it is important not to lose sight of the significant agreements and progress that was achieved at COP 30, building on the major steps forward agreed at all recent COPs.

Under the Presidency of Brazil, COP 30 delivered a breakthrough new Just Transition agreement. For the first time, Parties collectively affirmed that achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement is inseparable from the social realities of the transition itself. The decision makes clear that climate action must be rights-based, inclusive and equitable, tailored to national circumstances, and, above all, people-centered.

COP 30 also delivered an agreement to triple adaptation finance to ensure more countries have the support they need, as well as major progress across the Climate Action Agenda, across the six axes laid out by the COP 30 Presidency.

This progress included a 1 trillion USD agreement on clean grids and infrastructure, and hundreds of millions of hectares of forest, land and oceans protected or restored, to name just a few major steps forward delivered at COP 30 under this vital part of the Paris Agreement. In these and other ways, COP 30 marked the beginning of a new era of accelerating implementation, in which we must keep striving to bring the multilateral process closer to real economies, for the benefit of people, communities and economies everywhere.

COP 30 also capped another productive year, as is apparent in the below quarterly report of key activities in Q4.

Looking ahead, through the many opportunities and challenges 2026 will bring, the secretariat will keep working tirelessly to deliver fully and efficiently on all ou mandates, in support of Parties and all other stakeholders. Across all functions of the secretariat, my colleagues and I look forward to working with you to drive forward more progress, for people, prosperity and planet.

Simon Stiell
Executive Secretary, UN Climate Change

A blue sea star (Linckia laevigata) photographed on a largely dead reef on the Coral Coast on Fiji's largest island, Viti Levu.

Following a two-year technical and political process, and after robust debate at COP 30, the Belém Adaptation Indicators were adopted at COP 30, establishing a common framework to assess progress towards the global goal on adaptation. While this does not mark the end of the work needed on this front, Parties will be able to begin using the indicators, supported by the Belém-Addis vision on adaptation, with a view to enabling greater policy coherence and alignment going forward.

At COP 30, the Mutirão decision called for the tripling of adaptation finance by 2035, recognizing the urgent need to scale up support for vulnerable countries facing escalating climate impacts.

The 2025 Progress Report on National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) was published in Q4, underscoring the urgent need for scaled-up resources to translate plans into concrete action, particularly for vulnerable and developing countries. Three global webinar series helped promote uptake of the updated NAP technical guidelines. The assessment of progress in formulating and implementing NAPs concluded at COP 30, and steps were adopted for the stocktake of the work of the Least Developed Countries Expert Group (LEG) and its updated terms of reference.

The Adaptation Committee (AC) delivered concrete outputs to support stronger adaptation actions, including the completion of the interactive portal on the state of adaptation action by Parties. The portal provides country profiles for all 198 Parties, enabling collective learning and improved tracking of adaptation progress.

The Technical Guide on Accessing Finance for Displacement-Related Measures, published in December, provides practical pathways to mobilize resources to protect communities uprooted by climate impacts. In parallel, the third review of the Warsaw International Mechanism (WIM) concluded in Belém, reinforcing its role in supporting developing countries in addressing loss and damage.

Implementation of the Baku Workplan under the Local Communities and Indigenous Peoples Platform advanced through the 14th meeting of the Facilitative Working Group and four mandated events at COP 30, promoting the integration of diverse values, worldviews, and knowledge systems into the UNFCCC process.

Windmill

In October, the secretariat published the 2025 NDC Synthesis Report, showing that NDCs have been improving over time: Parties are putting forward economy-wide emission reduction targets, covering all greenhouse gases, and many are going beyond mitigation to include elements related to adaptation, finance, technology, and more.

At the start of COP 30, the secretariat published an update to the report’s key findings, focusing on revised estimates of total global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2035. This update covered 86 NDCs from 113 Parties, representing 69 per cent of global GHG emissions in 2019. The analysis shows that full implementation of these NDCs would reduce total global GHG emissions in 2035 to around 12 per cent below 2019 levels. This marks a clear improvement compared with pre-Paris Agreement projections, which anticipated emissions increases of 20-48 per cent by 2035.

However, the findings also make clear that much stronger mitigation ambition is still needed to meet the temperature goals of the Paris Agreement. Scaled-up support particularly to vulnerable and developing countries will be vital going forward.

Notably, at COP 30 all Parties unanimously reiterated their resolve in the Mutirão decision to limit temperature rise to 1.5°C. As of publication of this quarterly report, 131 Parties have submitted new NDCs.

Alongside this analytical work, the Regional Collaboration Centres (RCCs), together with the NDC Technical Support Unit, launched 13 direct country support projects to help close gaps in NDC development and implementation. These projects supported Parties in practical ways, including strengthening sectoral engagement in NDC preparation, mapping regulatory and compliance frameworks, developing operational tools for implementation, and improving costing and investment planning.

A young woman inspects solar panels.

The informal summary of the fourth dialogue under the UAE Just Transition Work Programme (UAE JTWP), together with the 2025 Annual summary report on the dialogues, were published in November. These publications captured opportunities, best practices, actionable solutions, challenges, and barriers emerging from the dialogue process over the course of the year.

The Third Annual High-Level Ministerial Round Table on Just Transition, convened during COP 30, provided a high-level political platform to reflect on progress under the UAE JTWP and to signal continued commitment to its implementation. Ministers highlighted lessons learned from national experiences, the importance of inclusive stakeholder engagement, and the need for enhanced international cooperation, finance, and capacity-building to support just transitions, particularly in developing countries.

At COP 30, the UAE JTWP reached an important milestone with the delivery of a concrete outcome, informed by substantive inputs from the two dialogues held earlier in the year. Building on the informal and annual summary reports, Parties discussed just transition pathways that integrate mitigation, adaptation, and resilience with socioeconomic development, workforce transformation, human and labour rights, and social protection, in line with nationally defined priorities.

Notably, Parties agreed to develop a just transition mechanism and defined a clear process for its operationalization. By anchoring just transition within the institutional framework of the Paris Agreement, Parties sent a powerful signal: just transition is not ancillary to climate ambition – it is integral to delivering it. The mechanism offers a unique opportunity for the intergovernmental climate process to support countries as they shape and deliver their own transition pathways – pathways that reflect national circumstances while ensuring fairness, dignity and opportunity for all.

Women delegates gather at a meeting

At COP 30, Parties agreed on the Belém Gender Action Plan (2026–2034), which sets out 27 activities and 98 deliverables to strengthen gender-responsive climate policies and actions. The plan promotes stronger coherence across the UNFCCC architecture, including the Global Stocktake, constituted bodies, conference organization, the work of the Presidency, and the operations of the secretariat, and calls for action by all stakeholders.

The plan introduces several important innovations, including explicit references to care work, women and girls of African descent, women environmental defenders, and violence against women and girls, alongside deeper consideration of the role of men and boys in advancing gender equality. At a time of disturbing pushback against human rights, the adoption of this ambitious plan has been widely welcomed.

RCC events on 'Transparency & Measurement, reporting, and verification (MRV)'

The first BTR Synthesis Report was released in Q4, showing that Parties are increasingly adopting stronger policies, new institutions, and whole-of-society approaches that are driving change in the real economy.

In parallel, the secretariat completed all 50 targeted technical expert reviews (TERs) by the end of 2025, with 10 reviews taking place in Q4 in Bhutan, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Georgia, Ghana, Malaysia, Uruguay and Uzbekistan (eight in-country and two centralized). In October, in-country technical analyses of REDD+ results were carried out for Bhutan, Chile, Colombia, and Costa Rica, providing hands-on support to strengthen reporting and transparency.

The Technical Expert Review Annual Report 2025 was published, providing an overview of progress, key findings, and lessons learned from the review process.

At COP 30, the Transparency Division hosted 16 events, including four mandated events. The COP 29 and COP 30 Presidencies, in collaboration with the #Together4Transparency initiative, convened a Ministerial Dialogue on Transparency. Ministers and heads of delegation emphasized the importance of keeping transparency high on political agendas as a foundation for effective implementation of the Paris Agreement.

In addition, 11 further events were organized, including training sessions on the enhanced transparency framework (ETF), BTRs, and climate data; dedicated sessions on the BTR Synthesis Report; discussions on the redevelopment of NAZCA; and the signature of a letter of intent with China’s Ministry of Ecology and Environment to promote transparency, support capacity-building, and strengthen South–South collaboration.

COP 30 included 14 transparency-related negotiation items, leading to a set of vital and concrete outcomes. The successful completion of the first enhanced transparency framework (ETF) cycle was formally captured in the Mutirão decision, marking an important milestone in the implementation of the Paris Agreement.

Parties also agreed to extend the mandate of the Consultative Group of Experts (CGE) indefinitely, strengthening its role in supporting developing countries in implementing the ETF.

During Q4, the secretariat continued to support the implementation of REDD+ through targeted technical work and peer exchange. In parallel, the secretariat established a REDD+ Community of Practice to support Parties in implementing Article 5 of the Paris Agreement through technical exchanges among countries and stakeholders, strengthening understanding of REDD+ reporting requirements, and clarifying linkages between REDD+ and other relevant mechanisms. The first regional meeting of the Community of Practice for Latin American and Caribbean countries was held in Brazil in December and helped identify key barriers that continue to slow REDD+ implementation.

At COP 30, negotiations under the Sharm el-Sheikh Joint Work on the Implementation of Climate Action on Agriculture and Food Security made good progress, further advancing work at the intersection of land use, food systems, and climate action. The secretariat also convened and contributed to several events on forest-sector mitigation, including a dedicated REDD+ side event and joint sessions with partners such as FAO and the GEF.

Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2026, the secretariat will organize the annual technical assessment session of submitted REDD+ reference levels. Further activities under the REDD+ Community of Practice are also planned, including an additional in-person meeting and the publication of targeted knowledge products on REDD+ safeguards, national strategies, and measurement, reporting and verification (MRV), to continue supporting Parties in advancing implementation.

Finance_Hero_image

The secretariat supported the COP 29 and COP 30 Presidencies in organizing consultations and technical drafting of the Baku to Belém Roadmap to USD 1.3 trillion, which was released by the Presidencies ahead of COP 30.

The Roadmap sets out actions to scale climate finance for developing countries by 2035. The Roadmap emphasizes collective action by governments, multi-lateral development banks, climate funds, private investors and other stakeholders. It also focuses on practical measures to increase concessional finance, reduce debt burdens, create fiscal space and mobilize private capital through innovative instruments.

The secretariat convened three webinars bringing together the Global Environment Facility, Green Climate Fund and the Fund for Responding to Loss and Damage with Parties, facilitated by the Standing Committee on Finance, to share recent developments and support dialogue in the lead-up to COP 30.

At COP 30, 13 finance decisions were adopted as part of the Belém Political Package, alongside finance-related outcomes under the Global Mutirão. The High-level Ministerial Dialogue on Climate Finance heard from 48 ministers and government representatives on priority needs and solutions to scale financing for climate action.

Looking ahead to Q1 2026, work will focus on appointing co-chairs for new mandates arising from COP 30, organizing the 39th meeting of the Standing Committee on Finance, and translating commitments into increased and more accessible finance for countries most in need through the Needs-based Finance project.

A worker stands up high inside a wind turbine overlooking a beautiful view.

Under the Sharm el-Sheikh Mitigation Ambition and Implementation Work Programme, the secretariat published its mandated annual report in October 2025. The report compiles outcomes from the fifth and sixth global dialogues and the investment-focused events held during the year.

The fifth global dialogue examined ways to enable mitigation solutions in the forest sector, drawing on national and regional experience, while the sixth focused on mitigation opportunities in the waste sector, including through circular economy approaches. In line with its mandate, the report provides a comprehensive and balanced reflection of the discussions, highlighting key findings as well as the main opportunities and barriers identified across the topics covered.

Forests

The eighteenth and nineteenth meetings of the Article 6.4 Supervisory Body of the Paris Agreement Crediting Mechanism (PACM) were held in Q4 2025 and marked an important milestone with the adoption of the first PACM methodology. By 31 December 2025, 118 Parties had a Designated National Authority (DNA), and 44 of these Parties submitted Host Party Participation Requirements (HPPR) forms, reflecting growing readiness to engage in the mechanism.

Under Article 6.2, the second centralized Article 6 technical expert review took place in December. During the review, reports submitted by 11 Parties were reviewed, supporting transparency and consistency in the application of cooperative approaches.

Under Article 6.8, the secretariat delivered two regional capacity-building sessions to strengthen understanding of non-market approaches (NMAs) and supporting their implementation. One session was for the European Union and the second for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. During this period, the secretariat provided support to Parties to designate national focal points for Article 6.8 and enable them to record NMAs on the NMA Platform.

Also in Q4, the secretariat’s Article 6 Capacity-Building Unit, with the Regional Collaboration Centres (RCCs), provided targeted support for the implementation of Article 6, including the transition of Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects to the PACM. Through a series of online learning products and webinars, Parties and stakeholders received practical guidance on transition procedures, as well as on completing and submitting the required documentation.

In addition, the secretariat, including through its Regional Collaboration Centre, organized a sub-regional workshop on Article 6 and carbon pricing for the MENA region, held in Oman in December. The workshop supported participating Parties in strengthening their understanding of effective participation under Article 6.

RCC AP hosts a webinar on the Meaningful Youth Engagement in Asia

Well before and during COP 30, the secretariat worked extensively to enable observers to engage across a wide range of events and activities. The secretariat also supported the COP 30 Presidency’s Open Dialogue, co-developed with NGO constituencies, enabling direct exchanges between observers and Parties on just transition. In addition, the secretariat facilitated nearly 120 advocacy actions to provide a vital civic space for observers’ perspectives on key climate issues.

Observer engagement at COP 30 was further strengthened through an extensive programme of side events and exhibits. As recognized by Parties as an essential part of the UNFCCC process, the secretariat facilitated nearly 340 side events and 100 exhibits during COP 30, engaging more than 1,050 organizers, including Parties and observer organizations, with strong participation from developing countries and youth groups. Topics covered adaptation and loss and damage, climate finance, mitigation, nature-based solutions, human rights, gender considerations, Indigenous Peoples’ perspectives, and youth leadership.

In support of the Global Climate Action (GCA) agenda, the secretariat and the Climate High-Level Champions (CHLCs) published the 2025 Yearbook of Global Climate Action, outlining progress and gaps since 2015. The secretariat also supported the development of the five-year vision for the GCA Agenda (2026–2030), which was launched in Q4 by the CHLCs at COP 30.

The secretariat further supported the CHLCs and the COP 29 and COP 30 Presidencies in delivering the COP 30 GCA programme, culminating in the UNFCCC-mandated GCA High-Level Event, which showcased 117 concrete delivery plans consolidated in the GCA Agenda Outcomes Report. In parallel, tools such as playbooks and technical guidance were developed with partners, with progress reports published for the secretariat’s Fashion Industry Charter for Climate Action and Sports for Climate Action Framework. Looking ahead, the sectoral engagement workstream will place a strong emphasis on policy dialogue to help unlock private finance, innovation, and technology, with a focus on the importance of storytelling, including through the Entertainment and Culture for Climate Action alliance.

COP 29 Opening plenary

Amid rapidly evolving on-site conditions and challenges, the UNFCCC worked with the COP 30 Presidency and Brazilian authorities to ensure the functionality of the venue and conference services. The conference welcomed more than 40,000 participants, making it one of the largest UN conferences ever held in Latin America. A total of 2,700 meetings were successfully delivered, overcoming construction delays and other challenges.

More than 3,900 members of the international media were registered for COP 30, and the Communications team worked with the COP 30 Presidency to provide two press conference venues available to all Parties, as well as non-Party stakeholders, including live-streaming and simultaneous translation.

On our conference webpage, a new AI-powered bot was successfully piloted to make it much easier to find conference documents, with a feedback survey showing high rates of user satisfaction. Key information and communications products were published in all six UN languages.

Operational support also included the handling of 891 visa-related queries in close coordination with host country authorities. Over the course of the conference, 66 documents containing draft decisions and conclusions were published, including 39 draft decisions released in a 20-hour push at the end of conference.

The city of Belem Brazil

Through the Trust Fund for Participation, 142 Parties were supported, with a 97 per cent acceptance rate and 350 nominations processed with 334 delegates attending in person. Accommodation support was coordinated closely with host country partners, including cruise ship arrangements and special group allocations.

Second Climate Week of 2025

Building on the progress made in 2025 with Climate Weeks taking a new, more integrated and cost-efficient format, including through clustering of mandated events, Climate Weeks will continue in 2026.

A key focus will be on practical ways to bring the intergovernmental process closer together with the real economy and communities on the ground, to support faster implementation and delivery, spreading more benefits to more people.

We are pleased to advise Climate Weeks will take place as follows:

  • Climate Week 1 will be held in Yeosu, the Republic of Korea, from 21 to 25 April 2026.
  • Climate Week 2 will be held in Baku, Azerbaijan, from 7 to 11 September 2026.

More information, including the notification for each mandated event and information on activities during the first and the second Climate Weeks 2026, will be communicated and published on the Climate Weeks page of the UNFCCC website in due course.

The 2026 calendar also will feature the first International Conference on the Just Transition Away from Fossil Fuels, hosted by Colombia from 28-29 April, with support from the Netherlands.

The June Climate Conference (SB 64) will take place in Bonn, Germany, from 8-18 June. In September, climate discussions will continue in the context of the UN General Assembly and New York Climate Week, while mid-to-late October will see the publication of key UNFCCC reports, including on NDCs and NAPs.

Antalya, Türkiye

At COP30, Parties accepted Türkiye’s offer to host COP 31 and welcomed an agreement reached between Türkiye and Australia, in which they will respectively take leadership as “COP31 President” and “President of Negotiations” in line with the Türkiye-Australia Partnership Modalities.

Parties also accepted Ethiopia’s offer to host COP 32 in 2027, and invited Asia-Pacific Group members to come forward with offers to host COP 33 in 2028.

A person uses a smartphone

The updates above are just a sample of all the work taking place in the intergovernmental process on climate change in Q4. We will continue to update Parties on the vital work and progress in many other areas in future Quarterly Updates, and as always, we value your feedback.

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