Background: COP 21 decided to continue and improve the forum on the impact of the implementation of response measures and adopted the work programme on the impact of the implementation of response measures comprising two areas: (1) economic diversification and transformation and (2) just transition of the workforce and the creation of decent work and quality jobs.
During SB 44, Parties agreed to the work programme of the forum and requested the secretariat to organize an in-forum training workshop, as part of the work programme, on “the use of economic modelling tools related to the areas of the work programme of the improved forum on the impact of the implementation of response”.
During SB 47 Parties agreed that the two-days training workshop is to be organized under the guidance of the Chairs of the SBI and the SBSTA, that will include experts invited from both developing and developed countries, as well as from intergovernmental and international organizations.
Participation: The workshop is open for participation of Parties, representatives of relevant bodies established under the Convention, experts, youth, practitioners and stakeholders.
Provisional agenda:
30 April to 1 May 2018
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DAY 1 |
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Opening session 11.00–11.20
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Opening remarks by the Chairs of the Subsidiary Body for Implementation (SBI) and the Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice (SBSTA)
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Session I
11.20–12.40
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Introduction and overview: modelling tools and their application on the assessment of the impacts of response measures
Moderated by Andrei Marcu and Natalie Kushko
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This session will provide an overview of existing modelling tools and will address several questions, for example: How can modelling tools be used for economic diversification and impact assessment on the workforce? Regarding the effectiveness of the existing modelling tools, which modelling tools are most useful for different type of analysis? Which data sources are best for these analyses?
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- Background presentation – UNFCCC secretariat Presentation
- Evaluating the economic impacts of policies to mitigate the effects of climate change in developing countries – International Agricultural Trade and Development Group (Scott McDonald) here
- Impact assessment of policy intervention using a social accounting matrix – Mega Zing Solutions (Pradeep Dadhich) here
- Discussion
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Break (12.40–13.00)
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Session II
13.00–14.00
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Needs and/or opportunities for modelling tools to assess the impacts of response measures, potential gaps that may exist and how to address them, sharing experiences
Moderated by Andrei Marcu and Natalie Kushko
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This session aims to provide an opportunity to the Party delegates in order to present their experience with the modelling tools, views on matters related to needs and opportunities related to technical studies on the impacts of the implementation of response measures using modelling tools. A few speakers will be invited to kick off the discussion among the Parties and participants.
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- Modelling the transition to a low emissions future Using economic modelling to inform policy - New Zealand (Alysha Bagasra) here
- Modelling Tools to assess the response measures: Needs, opportunities and potential gaps – An EU Experience, European Commission (Bert Saveyn) here
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Lunch break (14.00–16.00)
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Session III
16.00–17.20
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Showcasing existing methodologies and case studies
Moderated by Scott McDonald
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This session will focus on how modelling tools can be used to assess the impact of mitigation policies, challenges of the data availability and use of the national accounts data in modeling tools, how economic modelling tools can help to diversify economies and ensure that there is a just transition of the workforce including gender issues, challenges for cross border impact assessments, how modelling tools can address specific needs and challenges of geographic regions and sectors, etc.
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- ILO Framework for Modelling and Assessing the Impact of Response Measures – International Labor Organization (Massimiliano La Marca) here
- Modelling the transition towards green jobs and a low-carbon economy: the case of Mauritius (Riad Sultan here and Marek Harsdorff here )
- Sector-specific case studies from developing countries using IMACLIM modelling tools– Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement (Frédéric Ghersi) here
- Discussion
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Break (17.20–17.40)
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17.40–19.00
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Moderated by Moustapha Kamal Gueye
- Collaborative multi-objective decision-making and analysis to support Paris Agreement implementation – Center for Climate Strategies (Thomas Peterson) here
- Modelling economic cost of transition to 100 per cent renewable energy under the Paris Agreement – TERI University (Atul Kumar) here
- Discussion
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DAY2
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Session III cont.
10.00–11.20
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Moderated by Atul Kumar
- Supply, use and input-output tables: the Zambian case – Central Statistical Office (Litia Simbangala) here
- Cross-border effects of climate change mitigation in a multi-regional input-output framework – Norwegian University of Science and Technology (Kirsten S. Wiebe) here
- Assessment of carbon pricing policy and border carbon adjustment in Japan: implications for industrial competitiveness, carbon leakage and trade – Institute for Global Environmental Studies (Zhou Xin) here
- Discussion
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Break (11.20–11.40)
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Session III cont.
11.40–13.00
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Moderated by Kirsten Wiebe
- Case studies on the assessment of the impacts of response measures – International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development (Aaron Cosbey) here
- Assessing the employment and social impact of energy efficiency– Mega Zing Solutions (Pradeep Dadhich) here
- Discussion
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Lunch break (13.00–15.00)
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Session IV
15.00–16.30
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Showcasing existing programmes on the use of modelling tools to assess the impacts of climate policies
Moderated by Andrei Marcu and Natalie Kushko
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This session will present available opportunities which are related to the use of modelling tools for the assessment of the impacts of climate policies, discuss how the existing opportunities available under the intergovernmental process can be used to address the identified gaps, how the UNFCCC economic modelling portal can be updated to better address the current challenges, and the way forward
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- Green Jobs Assessment Institutions Network – ILO (Moustapha Kamal Gueye) here
- Partnership for Action on Green Economy and the Integrated Green Economy Modelling framework – United Nations Environment Programme (Ronal Gainza) here
- Computable general equilibrium models: training opportunities and skill development – International Agricultural Trade and Development Group (Scott McDonald) here
- Discussion
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Closing session
16.30
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Closing remarks by the Chairs of the SBI and the SBSTA
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