At the start of Q4, the secretariat released its annual NDC synthesis report, showing global emissions in 2030 are expected to be only 2.6% lower than 2019 levels, if all current commitments are implemented. This falls far short of the 43% reduction needed by 2030, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, to avert the worst human and economic impacts of the climate crisis, to stay on track for a net-zero global economy by 2050.
New Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) that are due in 2025 will be among the most important policy documents this century in every country, and vital to keeping the goals of the Paris Agreement within reach. These NDCs need to embed the targets agreed at COP28, including to rapidly ramp up renewables, transition away from fossil fuels quickly and fairly, and strengthen climate resilience. They also need to be aligned with the 1.5°C limit that all Parties have agreed to, and cover all greenhouse gases and all sectors of the economy.
Done well, these NDCs can be blueprints for stronger economies and societies, driving forward economic growth and jobs, better health outcomes and much lower health costs, more affordable and secure clean energy, among many other benefits. With this in mind, the quality and level of ambition in each NDC is of paramount importance.
Following up on activities in previous quarters, and recognizing that many Parties – particularly vulnerable and developing countries – need further help to prepare their NDCs, the secretariat continued to organize various capacity-building activities. In addition to the completion of the 2024 NDC 3.0 Regional Forums, at COP29 the secretariat hosted more than 15 NDC-focused events and 13 capacity-building sessions led by its Regional Collaboration Centres. Further efforts were made to update the guidance, information and resources on the NDC Navigator tool, which has been developed jointly by the secretariat and the NDC Partnership. In addition, the secretariat updated the NDC3.0 webpage which contains complementary information on NDC support.
The secretariat will continue to support Parties to submit their NDCs through the UNFCCC website, with submitted NDCs accessible on the NDC Registry. UN Climate Change secretariat also continued to work with the United Nations Environment Programme, United Nations Development Programme, the NDC Partnership and other organizations on planning of more NDC capacity-building events in 2025. Building on feedback from the 2024 Fora, the 2025 events will focus on helping developing countries mobilize finance and make their NDCs more investible and implementation-ready.
To accelerate action this decade on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the secretariat organized the fourth global dialogue and investment-focused event of the Sharm el-Sheikh Mitigation Ambition Implementation Work Programme in Q4, spotlighting buildings and urban systems in cities. On the negotiations front, despite divergent positions on the scope of the Work Programme, Parties welcomed progress on the Programme so far, noting key findings, opportunities, challenges and solutions from its annual report.