Distr.
RESTRICTED
FCCC/IDR.1/EUR
15 July 1997
ENGLISH ONLY
GE.97-
Under Articles 4 and 12 of the Convention. Parties are requested to prepare national communications on their implementation of the Convention. Guidelines for the preparation of national communications and the process for the review were agreed on by the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee for a Framework Convention on Climate Change, by its decisions 9/2 and 10/1, and 3/CP.1 (see FCCC/CP/1995/7/Add.1) In accordance with these decisions, a compilation and synthesis of the 33 national communications from Annex I Parties was prepared (FCCC/CP/12 and Add.1 and 2).
When reviewing the implementation of the Convention of the Parties, the subsidiary bodies and the Conference of the Parties will have this report available to them in English as well as the summary of the report in the six official languages of the United Nations. (These bodies will also have before them the executive summary of the first national communication of Ireland and country-specific information drawn from a compilation and synthesis report covering all countries that have submitted national communications.)
1. The national communication of the European Community was due on
21 September 1994 but was only received in July 1996. The in-depth
review took place in the period November 1996 to June 1997 and
included a visit to Brussels from 11 to 15 November 1996. The team
included experts from Zimbabwe, Romania, Japan and the secretariat of
the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).
The European Community is the only regional economic integration
organization that is a Party to the Convention, as are all its 15
member states separately. Each of their reports is also being
reviewed, and the review of the Community's communication therefore
focused on activities at the Community level. There is mixed
competence between the Community and its member states on various
issues related to climate change. On some of the issues where there
is Community competence, the Commission of the European Communities,
as the executive body of the Community, takes the lead, but on most
of the issues the Council of Ministers leads.
2. The team noted that the Community's member states are very
diverse in terms of geography, energy needs, structure of energy
supply and economic development. The Community imports most of the
energy used, although some member states are major producers of
fossil fuels and in others renewables contribute considerably to the
energy balance. Some have substantial capacity for production of
nuclear power. Total carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions were
estimated at 3,285,620 Gg in 1990. This corresponds to a per capita
average of about 9 tonnes, compared to the OECD average of about 12.
The figure varied from 4 to 12.5 tonnes among the various member
states except for Luxembourg, where it was more than 28 tonnes. Three
members joined 1 January 1995, and about ten central and eastern
European countries as well as Cyprus and Malta have taken steps to be
able to join within 5-10 years. The Community has committed itself as
a whole to stabilizing emissions of CO2 at 1990 levels in
2000, implying that emissions would drop in some member states and
grow in others. The Community strategy on climate change has four
pillars: energy conservation and energy technology programmes, fiscal
measures, national programmes and a monitoring mechanism to survey
the action taken to reach the target.
3. The inventory in the communication is built on the member
states' submissions under the Convention, but the European
Environment Agency (EEA) has cross-checked them with data from the
CORINAIR(2) programme as well as the
statistical office EUROSTAT. Certain adjustments have been made in a
transparent way to improve the internal consistency, including
separate treatment of final non-energy consumption of energy
commodities (for which an upper limit estimate is equivalent to 7.4
per cent of total emissions) and the elimination of adjustments that
some member states had made for temperature and electricity trade
anomalies. Emissions of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons
(PFCs) and sulphurhexafluoride (SF6) were not included,
but were not believed to represent a major share of emissions in
1990. Owing to the lack of complete information, the land-use change
and forestry sector was also excluded. Using the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) 1994 global warming potentials
(GWP), CO2 accounted for 80, methane (CH4) 14
per cent and nitrous oxide (N2O) for 7 per cent of the
emissions in 1990. The team noted the efforts that had been made to
develop a uniform inventory system, CORINAIR, at the Community level
and to extend it to the pan-European level, and the efforts soon to
be completed to make this compatible with the IPCC
system.
4. The team noted that the bulk of policies and measures to mitigate climate change is initiated nationally in the member states, with limited progress on common actions. Still the team noted the potential importance of developing common measures implemented Community-wide, given the development of a single market where there is pressure to harmonize the conditions for competition. The development of common measures could also provide lessons for the UNFCCC process in the light of Article 4.2(e)(i). It also noted the important role of the Community in creating a common legal and technical "infrastructure" for the implementation of policies and measures by member states.
5. The Council has agreed on legally binding directives requiring
energy labelling of several appliances and minimum energy efficiency
standards for refrigerators and freezers as parts of the SAVE
programme, but it has not yet reached agreement on a directive on
rational energy planning. These directives are so new that they are
still in the process of implementation in member states. The
programmes on energy efficiency and new, renewable energy sources,
the latter called ALTENER, also include budgets for activities such
as information, demonstration projects, workshops and the development
of product standards. The team noted that funding for the extension
of the SAVE programme has been substantially reduced compared to the
figures quoted in the communication. The Community has not been able
to agree on common CO2/energy taxes. In March 1997 the
Commission has adopted a proposal for a Council Directive
restructuring the Community framework for the taxation of energy
products. This is already in place for mineral oils, although the
levels are often lower than those applied in most member states. The
team was not given quantitative assessments of the effectiveness of
these measures, and it is not clear to what extent the regulations go
beyond what national policies and/or the market would achieve on
their own.
6. Although the emphasis has been on mitigating CO2
emissions, the monitoring mechanism now also includes other gases and
steps are being taken to develop an explicit strategy for
non-CO2 gases, starting with a strategy on methane. At
present measures aimed at reducing emissions of CH4,
N2O, HFCs, PFCs and SF6 are implemented only in
some member states. The team noted that the 1992 reform of the common
agricultural policy (CAP) is believed to limit emissions of methane
and nitrous oxide as well as stimulate sequestration in forests and
production of biofuels. Also, common policies in the waste sector
limit methane emissions. The team noted that the structural and
cohesion funds, which constitute about one third of the Community's
budget, are partly used to provide funding for energy and transport
infrastructure and thus could influence emission patterns
substantially. The team noted that some policies and measures,
notably the CAP, the efforts to deregulate the energy sector,
transport initiatives, the use of structural and cohesion funds and
the development of the single market, warrant examination in the
light of Article 4.2(e)(ii) to see how they influence greenhouse gas
(GHG) emissions.
7. The communication included an estimate that CO2
emissions could grow by 5-8 per cent from 1990 to 2000. According to
the second monitoring report of March 1996, the most likely
development is an increase by the year 2000 in the range of 0 to 5
per cent. Based on preliminary figures, emissions in 1995 were
considered to be at the 1990 level, following a dip in the early
1990s caused mainly by the reduction in Germany's new states, where
there was a 50 per cent drop between 1987 and 1993, equivalent to 4
per cent for the Community as a whole, substitution of coal by gas in
electricity production, particularly in the United Kingdom, and low
economic growth. The communication included scenarios showing that
emissions could grow after the turn of the century in the absence of
marked improvements in energy efficiency or the carbon ratio in
fuels, but that there is scope for political action to prevent this.
The communication did not include projections for other gases, but
the projections made by the member states suggest reductions for
methane and possibly also nitrous oxide. The team noted that the use
of HFCs is expected to grow as they are used to replace gases
regulated by the Montreal Protocol on substances that deplete the
ozone layer. PFCs have already been reduced significantly in some
member states. Estimates of the total effects of measures were not
available for the Community level, and only the effects of some
individual measures were described in the communication.
8. The Community has been an important contributor of funding to
understand and monitor climate change and its impacts, as well as to
develop possible response strategies. It has not developed a common
adaptation strategy, and the implementation of adaptation measures
has so far been left to the member states. Cooperation on research,
development, demonstration and dissemination of technologies is an
important task for the Community, and it provides substantial funding
through the non-nuclear programme known as JOULE/THERMIE. Funding is
also provided for nuclear research, including both fusion and
fission, which was not mentioned in the communication.
9. The Community is not a member of the Global Environment
Facility (GEF), although the member states are. The Community does,
however, co-finance GEF projects. It also has major programmes of
cooperation with central and eastern European states (PHARE), former
Soviet Union Republics in Asia (TACIS) and developing countries (for
example through the Lomé conventions). Under these programmes
there are a number of energy, agriculture and forestry projects which
have implications for GHG emissions. The team noted that the
programmes on research, development and dissemination of technologies
involve the participation of several non-member states. It also noted
that the CORINAIR activities have helped to enable Parties both
inside and outside the Community to compile inventories for direct as
well as indirect GHG and thus implement the Convention. The team
noted that information and capacity building are given priority in
the Community's programmes, but this will only be complementary to
efforts by member states.
10. The European Community (EC) ratified the Convention on 21 December 1993. The communication was due on 21 September 1994, but was only received by the secretariat on
8 July 1996, 21 months late and dated 11 June 1996. However, the secretariat had already received an incomplete draft communication covering the then 12 member states in December 1994. The in-depth review took place from November 1996 to June 1997 and included a visit to Brussels 11 to 15 November 1996. The team consisted of Mr. Amos Makarau (Zimbabwe), Mr. Jean Constantinescu (Romania), Mr. Ryutaro Yatsu (Japan), Ms. Jan Corfee-Morlot (the secretariat of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, OECD) and
Mr. Peer Stiansen, UNFCCC secretariat, coordinator. The team met
with several directorates of the Commission for the European
Communities, as well as with the European Environment Agency (EEA)
and environmental non-governmental organizations, and was given
additional background information.
11. The European Community is the only regional economic
integration organization that is a Party to the Convention. It is the
legal entity under which the countries members of the European Union
cooperate in the field of climate change, because the Union as such
is not a separate legal entity. The Community consisted of 12 member
states at the time of the ratification (Belgium, Denmark, France,
Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands,
Portugal, Spain and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern
Ireland), and another three (Austria, Finland and Sweden) joined on 1
January 1995. The reunification of Germany in 1990 also meant an
enlargement of the Community. Each of the 15 member states have also
ratified the Convention individually and submitted national
communications. By May 1997, all but Belgium have been visited in the
course of the in-depth review process and separate reports have been
or will be issued. The Community could be further enlarged within the
next 5-10 years, and at present about ten eastern and central
European countries, as well as Cyprus and Malta, have taken initial
steps to make membership possible. The team noted that a number of
countries that are currently not members, both in eastern and western
Europe, align their legislation with that of the Community, as well
as participating in regular programmes on research and development,
etc.
12. The communication builds on communications submitted by the
member states under the UNFCCC and/or under the Community's internal
monitoring mechanism. It was considered important to include also the
new member states that joined on 1 January 1995. Since several of the
member states' communications were not available until well into
1995, this was a main cause of the delay of the submission from the
Community. The degree to which the Community's communication builds
on the national submissions varies, but these are particularly
important for the sections on inventories and policies and measures,
while the communication mainly describes activities at the Community
level in other chapters. The communication is not meant to cover the
member states' full implementation of the Convention in a
comprehensive way. It still presents a lot of country-specific
information on each member state in a way that allows comparisons.
The team noted that much of the information was last updated in the
first half of 1995, and that the visit in November 1996 thus added
information on recent developments.
13. The geographical and economic conditions within the European
Community vary enormously. On the whole about 27 per cent of the land
is arable, 35 per cent forested, 18 per cent grassland and 20 per
cent other. It has around 370 million inhabitants and in general is
relatively densely populated, although some areas are not. The
population growth rate (0.3 per cent per annum) is low compared to
the OECD average (0.7 per cent). Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain
have the lowest per capita income in the Community and are the main
beneficiaries of support from the structural and cohesion funds.
Several member states went through an economic recession in the early
1990s, when overall growth in the Community was low, but the economic
growth has since picked up somewhat.
14. The Community as a whole is a net importer of energy, although
some member states are considerable producers of fossil fuels and to
some extent electricity and heat based on renewable sources. There
are large differences between countries regarding resources and fuel
choices, as well as on the demand side. There is no common energy
policy (despite the fact that two of the original three areas of
European cooperation were coal and nuclear energy), although elements
of such a policy are under development. At the time of the team's
visit, the Council reached common positions on a partial
liberalization of the electricity market. The European Parliament has
since agreed to a directive which will generally ensure that 22 per
cent of the market is open to competition among producers by 1
January 1999, and more later. A similar directive is under
development for natural gas. At present there are large differences
in how member countries organize their energy markets. If the main
elements of a common energy policy are agreed, Community regulations
would be increasingly important in those markets. In particular in
the electricity market, which is currently characterized by
overcapacity, some of the Community's actions may have considerable
effects on future fuel choices and investment patterns, and hence
fuel shares. The nature of these effects is not fully
clear.
15. Per capita carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in the
Community are relatively low, at about 9 tonnes, compared to the OECD
average of about 12 tonnes (1990 data). The figure varied between 4
and 12.5 tonnes among the various member states except for
Luxembourg, where it was 28 tonnes (primarily because of the high
share of emissions from steel production). Differences are due to the
different levels and structures of economic activity, application of
various policies and measures, heating requirements and energy
efficiency levels as well as fuel shares in the electricity sector.
Some member states generate almost all their electricity from
carbon-free sources, while others are almost totally dependent on
coal and gas in this sector. The team noted that the communication
does not describe the use of nuclear power; some member countries
have forbidden the use of this source by law, while others use it to
produce most of their electricity. The status and development of
nuclear power is, however, discussed in the background documentation
from the monitoring mechanism. Energy prices are often relatively
high in EC countries by international standards, particularly those
of transport fuels as a result of taxes.
16. The instrument of ratification was accompanied by the
following declaration:
"The European Economic Community and its Members States declare
that the commitment to limit anthropogenic CO2 emissions
set out in Article 4(2) of the Convention will be fulfilled in the
Community as a whole through action by the Community and its Member
States, within the respective competence of each.
In this perspective, the Community and its Member States reaffirm
the objectives set out in the Council conclusions of 29 October 1990,
and in particular the objective of stabilization of CO2
emissions by 2000 at 1990 level in the Community as a
whole.
The European Community and its Member States are elaborating a
coherent strategy in order to attain this objective."
The team noted that this statement from the Community and its
member states is seen as consistent with a differentiation of
commitments internally; that inside a common commitment to stabilize
CO2 emissions at 1990 levels in 2000, some countries could
continue to increase emissions if this is offset by reductions in
other countries. A similarly structured negotiating position on a
target for 2010 is also tabled in the Ad hoc Group on the Berlin
Mandate (AGBM). The Community has not made any further statement on
the respective responsibilities of this regional economic integration
organization vis-à-vis its member states in response to
Article 22, paragraphs 2 and 3, of the Convention.
17. On activities related to climate change there is shared or
mixed competence between the European Community and its member
states, and thus, as in many international agreements, a need is seen
for both the Community and its member states to be Parties. Member
states cooperate in various ways depending on the issue, a matter
which is elaborated upon in the communication and in the specific
chapters of this report. The fact that several areas fall fully or
partly within Community competence is a main reason for ratification
as such, although many areas of response are still fully or partly
the responsibility of the member states, even though support
activities may be carried out in or via the Community.
18. The institutional framework of the Community includes the
Commission of the European Communities (CEC) which, at the time of
the team's visit, had 20 commissioners and was organized in 23
directorate generals (DG). Many of these have responsibility for
issues relevant to the responses to climate change and are involved
in development and implementation of the strategy on climate change.
In these matters the CEC, and in particular the DG XI on environment
and nuclear safety, which coordinates the policy with a relatively
small staff, is also supported by the statistical office, EUROSTAT,
and the European Environmental Agency.
19. As far as law on the environment is concerned, on most
subjects this is made under what is usually called the cooperation
procedure. This procedure is laid down in Article 189(c) of the
Treaty. It involves the Commission, the Council (which consists of
the ministers from all member states), and the directly elected
Parliament. The Commission makes a proposal, then the Council adopts
a common position. The Parliament has the opportunity to improve by
proposing amendments to it or rejecting it. Depending on the
positions adopted by the Parliament and the Commission, the procedure
may conclude in the Council adopting the final text by qualified
majority or by unanimity. In contrast, legislation on some specific
subjects requires the Council always to act unanimously on a proposal
from the Commission and after consulting the Parliament. These
subjects include in particular provisions primarily of a fiscal
nature and measures significantly affecting a member state's choice
between different energy source and the general structure of its
energy supply. There is also a Court of Justice to ensure that the
member states, Council, Commission and Parliament interpret, and
apply the Treaty in accordance with Community law.
20. Community policies are carried out through a variety of
instruments and papers. The CEC prepares "communications" and "green"
and "white" papers for the Council, to prepare the ground for more
binding decisions in other documents later in the process. These
initial steps can later result in "regulations", which are directly
applied as law in all member states, as is often the case for example
in the agricultural sector, or "directives", which are binding as to
the result to be achieved in all member states to which they are
addressed, but which leave to the member states national authorities
the choice of form and methods. As this latter instrument is seen as
more flexible for use in member states having different institutional
and legal structures, it is often preferred to regulations. The
Council can also make "decisions" which are binding to those to whom
they are addressed. Further, the Council could agree on "conclusions"
of a political nature. The Council may also agree on "common
positions", for example on issues related to the negotiations under
UNFCCC.
21. Once the Community has taken a decision, the relevant
provisions are to be implemented by the member states within a
specified time-frame. The principle of subsidiarity has been
increasingly emphasized in the 1990s and means that responsibilities
should be assumed at the lowest level of government. This implies
that what could be done best at the national level should be done
there and not at the Community level. The team notes that the
Maastricht criteria for a single currency inside the Union include
restrictions on national budget deficits and thus put pressure on
public expenditure, including for the funding of activities in
response to climate change and international cooperation, while
providing incentives for taxes, some types of which are also parts of
the mitigation strategy. The team noted that the Community has
exclusive competence in trade matters and on agricultural policy,
both of which could influence the development of emissions. Exclusive
competence implies that the CEC negotiates on behalf of all member
countries.
22. The European Community started to develop a common response to
climate change in the second half of the 1980s, and in 1990 the
Council agreed on a commitment to stabilize CO2 emissions
at 1990 levels in 2000. By 1992 the Commission had proposed a
strategy to the Council which included the main elements of the
present policy, although this is not static and has developed
considerably over the years. The pillars of the policy, as presented
in the communication, are Community programmes on energy conservation
and energy technology, fiscal measures, national programmes, and a
monitoring mechanism which provides information to the Parliament and
Council on the Community and member state actions to meet the
Community target. The climate change strategy is currently carried
out within the framework of the fifth Environment Action Programme,
"Towards sustainability", which was agreed by the Council in 1993.
Integration of environmental concerns in sectoral policies is a major
element in this programme. The Commission produces comprehensive
progress reports on its implementation, which the team found most
useful.
23. The team noted that the European Commission has monitored and
evaluated the programmes of member states to limit their
anthropogenic CO2 emissions based on the Council decision
of June 1993. The monitoring mechanism has had several meetings, and
its second evaluation report, which includes greenhouse gas (GHG)
inventories and evaluation of progress towards the target and which
was published in March 1996, provided useful information to the team.
Assessments are still at a relatively aggregate level, with little
detail on impacts of, for example the SAVE programme. At the time of
the visit, a proposal to amend the monitoring mechanism had been
submitted to the Council (upon its invitation) to satisfy the
reporting requirements under the UNFCCC and report on all GHGs rather
than CO2 only.
24. In the Community, inventories are carried out by the individual member countries. The role of the European Environment Agency, which has provided the inventories in the communication drawing upon its selected topics centre, has been to compile these and to
co-ordinate and lead activities to improve the methodologies and
presentation. The communication contained data on CO2
emissions from energy and industrial use, methane
(CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O) and the indirect
GHGs carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx) and
non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOC). The figures in the
communication are based on the inventories submitted by the member
countries under the UNFCCC and the Community's monitoring mechanism
(the latter particularly for Belgium), and were cross-checked with
and used some information from CORINAIR and EUROSTAT. Owing to
incomplete reporting by the member countries, figures for the
land-use change and forestry sector were not provided. In addition,
hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs) and
sulphurhexafluride (SF6) were not included. The team has
concentrated on issues related to the figures given at the Community
level.
25. Based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
1994 global warming potentials (GWPs), and including only the gases
and sectors that were reported, CO2 accounted for about 80
per cent, methane 14 per cent and nitrous oxide 7 per cent of the
emissions in 1990. Other gases (PFCs, HFCs and SF6) were
believed to have made only a limited contribution in that year, and
thus the relative importance of the three major GHGs in 1990 is not
expected to change much following a more complete reporting of other
gases.
26. The Community has been working over a number of years to
establish a comprehensive air emissions inventory system, which is
referred to as CORINAIR. CORINAIR aims to ensure that one set of
complete and transparent inventories is available for use by all
member states for national and international air policy purposes. It
has been adopted by the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe
as the official inventory system for reporting under the Convention
on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution. As a result, CORINAIR is
now widely used all over Europe, including non-member countries in
the western, central and eastern Europe. The team noted that the
Community's efforts to develop CORINAIR has built up capacity for
making inventories both in member states and in other countries, and
contributed to their ability to prepare national GHG
inventories.
27. CORINAIR was originally not designed to include GHGs, and
CO2, CH4 and N2O were included only
recently. The structure of the system was tailored to cater to issues
such as local and regional air pollution. It has a sectoral split
different to that of the IPCC, as well as including natural sources,
and more detail on the location of large point sources. In
preparation for its most recent (1990) inventory, CORINAIR added GHGs
to its list of original pollutants and the system can now be used by
member states as the basis for the GHG inventories. Significant
differences remain between CORINAIR and national inventories
submitted under the UNFCCC according to the IPCC guidelines, which is
one of the reasons for the inventories in the communication being
based on the member states' submissions. Cross-checking with CORINAIR
and EUROSTAT was done to identify gross inconsistencies among
different major source categories, in particular where comparison of
inventory estimates revealed that the national submission provided
lower and hence perhaps incomplete estimates of any particular
source. Member states inventories were still adjusted as seen
necessary for reasons of consistency. This approach, including the
adjustments, was clearly documented in the communication. A detailed
assessment of the inventories is only possible country by country,
which is done in the individual in-depth reviews. The EEA had not
undertaken detailed reviews of the underlying activity data or
emission factors. The team noted that the assessments made through
the review process under the Convention (in-depth reviews and
analysis in relation to compilation and synthesis reports) could also
be drawn upon by the EEA to improve the consistency.
28. The team noted the important work done over several years to
make the CORINAIR and IPCC inventory systems compatible, which was
seen as close to completion at the time of the team's visit. In the
longer run, the use of CORINAIR as the basic inventory system by all
European countries for the preparation of all air emission
inventories (including GHG inventories) should improve the overall
consistency and quality of inventory data in this region. One of the
major changes to the CORINAIR system as a result of its extension to
include GHGs is the addition of the land-use change and forestry
sector as a separate anthropogenic source of GHG emissions. Data
should be available from this sector in the next round of CORINAIR
for 1994 data. This iteration will also bring a few other
modifications to make them almost entirely consistent with the latest
IPCC guidelines. However, the new gases (PFCs, HFCs, SF6)
are still not included in the guidebook for CORINAIR-94 inventories.
By the end of 1997, the reporting of CORINAIR data will be annual and
it is expected that data will be available for the years 1990 to
1995. For some countries, even 1996 figures could then be
available.
29. In order to ensure consistency in the presentation of data,
CO2 from final non-energy consumption (FNEC), basically
consisting of feedstocks, was pulled out of the inventories and
presented as a separate category. Equivalent to 7.4 per cent of the
total emissions, this figure represents "potential" CO2
emissions from this source and is considered an upper estimate.
Some portion of this potential is actually stored in non-energy
products. For consistency, EUROSTAT-based estimates for FNEC were
used rather than national estimates. This adjustment was made to
highlight to decision makers and to inventory analysts the need for
improved estimates of this source of emissions. Total CO2
from energy commodities for the Community, consistent with the IPCC
Guidelines, would be the sum of the total provided in the document
plus this potential CO2 from FNEC or 3,529,220 Gg
CO2. The Community's inventory did not include adjustments
for temperature variation and electricity trade, and in this way it
differed from the inventories presented by some of its member
states.
30. A similar adjustment was made for the bunker emissions, where
the data quality is considered to be relatively poor. Marine bunker
emission estimates equal to 3.5 per cent of the total CO2
were derived from EUROSTAT data rather than from national
submissions in order to ensure complete and consistent estimation.
Aviation bunker emissions, equivalent to 1.7 per cent of
CO2 from energy sources, were estimated by deducting
CORINAIR estimates of landing and take-off cycle emissions from
EUROSTAT estimates of total aviation energy CO2. The net
result is the total cruise CO2 from all aviation energy
use. To the extent that it also includes domestic aviation cruise
emissions, this gives an overestimate of the CO2 emissions
from international aviation.
31. Regarding the so-called "new gases" (PFCs, HFCs,
SF6), only some countries had been able to produce
estimates. To overcome difficulties in data collection, carrying out
inventories at the Community level could become increasingly
important. The team also noted that data on industrial activity
available through EUROSTAT could be used to get a first estimate of
some of these gases and also for checking assumptions in member
states' estimates. Regarding data for the land-use change and
forestry sector the team noted that many member states, including
those with major forested areas, had compiled inventories for this
sector. For all of these the sector was a net sink, in total of more
than 150,000 Gg (see FCCC/1996/CP/12/Add.2). Extensive forestry data
are collected and made available through EUROSTAT. These data could
be used to provide information on the underlying levels of activity
as well as to assist member states in the prepation of their
inventories and for checking their assumptions.
32. The Community did not submit inventory data for years
subsequent to 1990 even though these were due on 15 April 1996. The
second evaluation report under the Community's monitoring mechanism
includes some information on trends in CO2 emissions from
1990 to 1993, indicating these fell by 2.2 per cent. The factors
behind the variations in emissions are slow economic growth, the
restructuring of the industry and energy sectors in the former German
Democratic Republic (where emissions declined by 50 per cent between
1987 and 1993, corresponding to a 4 per cent reduction in the total
Community emissions) and the change-over from coal to gas for
electricity production in the United Kingdom, resulting from the
removal of subsidies for coal production, increased availability of
gas and deregulation. The team noted that emissions from the
transport sector grew by 7 per cent. In some member states emissions
increased while in others they were stable or decreasing. Indicators
for the carbon intensity of the economy and carbon per capita showed
a decline from 1990 to 1994.
33. The Community's original strategy for mitigating climate
change focused largely on CO2 and the energy sector, the
four pillars being: energy conservation and energy technology
programmes, fiscal measures, national programmes and a monitoring
mechanism to survey the actions taken to reach the target. The
results are reported to the European Parliament and the Council of
Ministers. The main elements of this strategy are still relevant, but
the Community has introduced policies affecting other gases and
sources, although climate change mitigation is generally not the main
motivation behind these. The Commission is moving towards possible
common actions motivated by climate change concerns on emissions
other than CO2 from the energy sector, but it had not
developed a comprehensive strategy covering all gases and sources at
the time of the team's visit. The team noted that the competence of
the Community vis-à-vis the member states varies between the
different sectors, but that it is particularly important in
agriculture. There is no common energy policy, although most
mitigation efforts are directed towards energy-related emissions. Up
till now, the bulk of mitigation measures taken in most member states
have been initiated nationally rather than at the Community
level.
34. The team saw the Community's efforts to agree on policies and
measures as important for the UNFCCC process, and felt that, since
for example the energy situation in the member states differ so
widely, these efforts could provide lessons for the Convention
process. The team noted that policies and measures have to fit the
changes in the market structure of the Community, where the
continuous development of a single market for goods and services,
deregulation of electricity and gas markets and subsidy reforms in
the agricultural sector are important factors. Such developments
induce changes in the behaviour of the actors in the member
countries, and pose new challenges to policy. The Community's efforts
are particularly relevant to Article 4.2(e)(i) of the Convention
which states that the Annex I Parties should "coordinate as
appropriate with other such Parties, relevant economic and
administrative instruments developed to achieve the objective of the
Convention;"
35. The team noted that there has been limited progress in terms
of mandatory measures (e.g. regulations, taxes) proposed by the
Commission and reported in the communication. Only two minimum
standards and some labelling schemes had been adopted as directives
at the time of the team's visit, and these are still under
implementation in the member states. The team also noted that, to be
effective, policies and measures agreed at the Community level have
to go beyond the least common denominator of policies and measures in
the member states, as well as what the market alone would have
achieved. The communication did not document to what extent this was
the case. The team recognized, however, that implementing mandatory
measures as minimum levels (e.g. standards, taxes) means that
countries cannot go lower than these in the future, and that they
thus may have an impact even if they do not go beyond the present
state. Also, it recognized that having the legal framework in place
could in principle make it easier to tighten the regulations later.
Community legislation allow countries to go beyond the minimum
standards as long as this does not conflict with the principle of the
internal market.
36. The team noted that the structural and cohesion funds,
amounting to about one third of the Community's budget, are partly
used to provide funding for energy and transport infrastructure and
thus could influence emission patterns substantially. The use of
these funds was not covered in the communication. The team noted that
some Community policies and practices may, if countermeasures are not
taken, increase GHG emissions from the member states, while others
could reduce them. UNFCCC Article 4.2(e)(ii) states that each of the
Annex I Parties Party shall "identify and periodically review its
own policies and practices which encourage activities that lead to
greater levels of anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases not
controlled by the Montreal Protocol than would otherwise occur".
The team felt that a number of areas would warrant an assessment of
how they influence GHG emissions, including the development of the
single market (in particular effects on transport and on
harmonization and level of ambition for national policies and
measures), deregulation of the energy sector, transport policy, the
use of the structural and cohesion funds and the common agricultural
policy.
37. The main Community level programmes to limit CO2
emissions are: SAVE, which aims to improve energy efficiency;
ALTENER, which aims to enhance the use of new and renewable energy
sources; and JOULE/THERMIE, which represents a framework for
research, development, demonstration and dissemination of new
technology. The team recognized the crucial role Community-wide
action could play regarding policies that seek to develop and
implement better technologies in a single market through these
programmes. Many initiatives under these programmes build largely on
"no-regrets" policies started before the Community strategy was drawn
up in 1992. They complement efforts undertaken by member states on
their own initiative, which still constitute the bulk of policies and
measures that are implemented across the Community. Common and
increased taxes on energy commodities are still seen as crucial for
significant progress in mitigation.
38. Attempts to achieve agreement on a common
CO2/energy tax within the Community have so far not been
successful. Differences in energy situation, with some member states
heavily and others less dependent on fossil fuels and thus economic
and environmental effects differing correspondingly, make agreement
on the tax structure difficult. Differences in economic development
are used as an argument for flexible timing of implementation in
certain member states. Some member states have not been willing to
accept any taxes decided at the Community level. Four member states,
Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands and Sweden, have unilaterally
implemented taxes with carbon elements, while others have made
statements of intent but are still waiting for the Community to agree
on a common approach.
39. At the time of the team's visit, the Commission was working on
a system of minimum levels of taxation for energy commodities. In
March 1997 the Commission has adopted a proposal for a Council
Directive restructuring the Community framework for taxation of
energy products. The proposal enlarges the scope of the Community
minimum rate system at present limited to mineral oil to cover all
energy products including mineral oil, natural gas, solid fuels and
electricity. The proposal also provides the framework for member
states to introduce carbon components in their national energy
taxation system by applying differentiated rates of taxation. The
team noted that, to the extent this new initiative is agreed upon and
entails effective tax rates on commodities that are not taxed or are
very lightly taxed at present (in particular gas and coal in several
member states), it would increase incentives to conserve these energy
sources and thus reduce carbon emissions. However, the team
considered a pure CO2 tax, which is also applied directly
to the CO2 content of fuels in electricity and heat
production would be more efficient in terms of stimulating fuel
switching and clean technology. It is recognized that finding a
practical way to tax electricity and heat poses some problems.
Integration of the European electricity market has, as an example,
given further incentives to unify the tax system, and there has been
at least one example of a country abandoning direct taxation on the
CO2 content of fuels because it was not applied in other
countries participating in the market. Originally the country in
question had imposed direct CO2 taxes on fuels and it
taxed imported electricity at an average rate of the domestic taxes,
as it is difficult to identify the fuel sources used to produce
imported electricity and apply a tax system that corresponds to
these. However, international trade regulations do not allow a
country to apply taxes to imported electricity that are different to
those for domestically produced electricity, and such an average rate
could be interpreted as a pure import tax. This has led to lower
effectiveness in GHG abatement as there is no direct tax incentive to
shift to low- or no-carbon fuels.
40. SAVE is considered to be mainly a legislative programme with
the emphasis on mandatory measures (e.g. labelling and standards for
appliances), although it also includes softer measures (e.g.
information and subsidies). Its initial duration was from 1991
through 1995, and its target was to improve energy efficiency by 20
per cent between 1986 and 1995; estimates indicate that an
improvement of 10 per cent was attained. The budget totalled 35
million ECU. Decisions on mandatory measures have been slow in coming
and, at the time of the team's visit, only a few had been adopted;
they include minimum energy performance standards on freezers and
refrigerators and energy labelling schemes for various household
appliances. A directive on hot water boilers was adopted in 1992 and
is currently under review. There are as yet no Community standards on
such matters as energy efficiency in industrial processes. Directives
covering the above measures were agreed on so recently that the
implementation in the member states could not be assessed, although
energy labelling is now starting to reach the market. Their
effectiveness is uncertain. In particular there is uncertainty
whether the agreed standards really go beyond what the market would
achieve on its own, and if so, how far. The initial SAVE programme is
to be followed up by SAVE II, covering the period 1996 to 2000. The
budget was still under discussion at the time of the team's visit and
had suffered a number of cuts from the 150 million ECU given as the
proposed figure in the communication, to 45 million ECU.
41. ALTENER, which is a programme to promote the use of new,
renewable energy sources (biomass, solar, wind, geothermal), also
consists of certain types of regulatory measures and financial
support schemes. It has a budget of 40 million ECU for the five years
from 1993 to 1997 for financial support for various activities to
create a technical and information infrastructure that will
facilitate the market penetration of these energy sources. It
includes information and training, pilot projects, local development
plans etc. Regulatory measures include standards for products and
appliances to facilitate their use on the European market. At the
time of the team's visit, standardization of biofuels had been
achieved. The team noted that for the time being, national
circumstances in the member states governed the application of new,
renewable energy sources, and that there was still some way to go to
implement the programme's targets of doubling the market share for
renewables from 4 to 8 per cent from 1991 to 2005, tripling the
production of electricity from renewables and securing a 5 per cent
share of biofuels in motor vehicle consumption. It is generally
believed that the main effects of the ALTENER programme are long-term
and will occur after the year 2000. An extension of the programme,
ALTENER II, is to be discussed in 1997. The team noted that a
directive on integrated resource planning, which could boost emphasis
on new and renewable energy sources, was also under discussion in the
Council, but had not yet been agreed.
42. The Community has pursued the development and dissemination of
new energy technologies over many years. Since 1989 the main research
and development efforts on non-nuclear energy have been concentrated
in the JOULE I and II programmes, with an aggregated budget of 380
million ECU, while demonstration and dissemination activities
received funding of about 700 million ECU through the THERMIE
programme from 1990 to 1994. These programmes were merged as from
1995 to integrate research and development with demonstration and
dissemination. The budget for such non-nuclear activities for the
period 1994 to 1998 is currently about one billion ECU.
43. The Community has implemented some regulatory as well as fiscal measures that affect GHG emissions from transport, a major and rapidly growing emissions source, although climate change has not been the motivation. Directive 92/82/EEC set minimum rates for excise duties on petrol and diesel fuels. The team notes that these rates in principle prevent member states from going below certain levels, but that the actual taxes in member states are generally above, and in some cases well above the minimum rates. In these countries the directive has little effect. Directive 93/116/EC defines a method of measuring CO2 emissions from passenger cars. Although the European Parliament has demanded limit values for CO2 emissions from cars, such standards are not currently part of the Community strategy for reducing CO2 emissions from cars as proposed by the Commission (CO(95) 689 final) and endorsed by the Council (Council Conclusions of 25.06.96). This strategy is based on an agreement with the automotive industry, fiscal measures related to vehicle purchase and/or ownership, and fuel economy labelling. The objective is to reach a fuel efficiency of
5 l/100 km for new passenger cars by 2005 (and 4.5 l/100 km for
diesel-powered vehicles), and at the latest by 2010. The team noted
the Commission's regret that the Council did not fully endorse the
strategy in June 1996, i.e. including the element on vehicle-related
fiscal measures.
44. Community action is also aimed at improving the structure of
the demand for transport rather than reducing the demand. The
Commission has contributed to the discussion on internalization of
external costs of transportation by publishing a paper on fair and
efficient pricing, as well as on a citizen's network, outlining ways
to influence modal choice. There are also initiatives to assist local
authorities to improve urban structures, establish car-free city
networks and enhance public transport, improve public awareness, etc.
The Commission has also issued a white paper on extended use of
railways for freight.
45. As far as industry is concerned, there is at present no
Community-wide mandate to reduce GHG emissions specifically from this
sector, which is thus left to the member states. The Directive on
Integrated Pollution Prevention and Control is expected to have
positive side-effects on limitation of greenhouse gases although it
does not explicitly include these. In the implementation of the
directive member states could, however, do so. The team noted that
the Council in 1993 agreed on a regulation allowing voluntary
participation by companies in the industrial sector in a Community
eco-management and auditing scheme, and that to the extent that GHGs
and/or energy use covered by this regulation, it would increase the
companies' awareness of their emissions and possibly also of how they
could mitigate them, which could then bring about voluntary action to
limit greenhouse gases. Eco-labelling has been introduced in some
member states, but there is no Community-wide system. The Community
has, however, set up an award system for products that cause the
least environmental damage during their entire life cycle. Voluntary
agreements were seen as a politically desirable way of dealing with
GHG emissions in this sector, but at present it is not clear how such
an instrument could be implemented Community-wide, and in particular
which institutions would have the competence to sign at the Community
level on behalf of both the Community and the industry.
46. Although no specific mitigation policies for non-CO2
gases had been agreed at the Community level at the time of the
visit, the team noted that a number of policies in the agriculture
and agri-environmental areas, as well as waste policies, are already
influencing GHG trends. Initial steps had been taken to deal with
methane emissions directly. The team also noted that a number of
member states have included all or some of these emissions as well as
removals in their national policies and measures.
47. The Community has sole competence regarding the regulations in
the agricultural sector, where the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP)
makes it a major player in determining levels and methods of
production, and hence emissions of CH4 and N2O,
as well as removals of CO2. The overall budget for
interventions in the agricultural sector was 36,681 million ECU in
1994, more than half of the total Community budget. The subsidies
have been increasing during the 1990s, but more slowly since 1992,
when a major reform in the CAP was undertaken. The main objective of
the reform is economy: to reduce prices of agricultural products to
make them more competitive both within the Community and elsewhere.
This has required a change in the way interventions are done; while
still motivated by regional and social concerns, a central mechanism
is to decouple support for farmers from production
levels.
48. Despite having major effects on the environment and being
seemingly beneficial regarding GHG emissions, the CAP reform was not
founded on any explicit environmental strategy. An important effect
of the reform is the reduction of N2O emissions triggered
by incentives for more extensive farming (with less use of
fertilizers). Further, the change in the subsidy structure will give
incentives to produce less meat, and thus reduce methane emissions
from ruminants and manure by lowering the animal numbers. In addition
there is a programme to set aside agricultural land in order to
reduce the surplus of agricultural products in the Community; the
programme covered about 1 million hectares at the time of the team's
visit. This both reduces agricultural production directly and
provides increased incentives for afforestation, and thus enhanced
sequestration of CO2. About 90 per cent of the set-aside
land has been used for production of rapeseed, which is utilized to
make biofuels and thus assists indirectly in reducing of emissions
from transport. The team noted, however, that when the demand for
food increases, set-aside land could again be put into ordinary
production and the recent developments would be reversed. No
quantitative information was available on the effects on GHG
emissions of changes in the level of agricultural activities. Further
moves towards world market prices could entail significant changes in
the sector, with corresponding effects for GHG emissions. Extension
of Community membership to large agricultural countries in central
and eastern Europe is likely to influence the CAP
significantly.
49. To accompany the CAP reforms, the Community has also introduced so-called
agri-environmental measures, intended to achieve environmental
objectives in this sector. The team was informed that the budget for
these activities for 1993 to 1997 is 4,300 million ECU, equivalent to
about 3 per cent of the CAP budget. In addition there is matching
funding from the member states. To receive support, projects must
include environmental objectives as outlined in the regulation for
agri-environmental measures. Projects fall mainly into three
categories: promotion or stimulation of sustainable farming practices
(e.g. low stocking densities and lower fertilizer inputs); landscape
protection; training and demonstration. By June 1996, 115 projects
were approved. Monitoring of these is the responsibility of the
member states. As the projects are still being implemented, a first
assessment of the effects was to be ready at the earliest in the
first half of 1997.
50. A Community-level strategy for reducing methane emissions is
being developed, and the Commission issued a communication on this
subject in November 1996. The proposed strategy aims to develop or
build on actions in three areas: energy, waste and agriculture. The
team noted that Community action on energy issues, such as coal
subsidies and the production, transport and distribution of
hydrocarbons, could influence CH4 emissions in the future.
Several activities at the Community level affect the waste sector and
hence methane emissions. Still the situation regarding recycling,
incineration, landfilling and gas recovery varies greatly among the
member countries and currently must be considered the main
determinant of emissions. Under Community law, waste is a good and
can thus move freely within the Community. This reduces obstacles to
re-use and could thus help reduce the total amount for disposal. The
Community strategy on waste was recently reviewed resulting in a
hierarchy of priorities: first waste minimization, then materials
recovery, and finally energy recovery. Waste minimization is to be
achieved through initiatives on recycling and packaging, for example.
The Community is promoting materials recovery projects through its
LIFE programme, which covers various environmental issues. A
directive on packaging described in the communication was agreed in
1994 and is currently in the course of implementation, so the effects
can not be assessed yet.
51. The Commission is preparing a directive on landfills with the
objective of decreasing methane emissions from this source by 45 per
cent by 2005 (compared to a business-as-usual scenario) and 60 per
cent by 2010. At the time of the team's visit, this directive was
being redrafted to ensure fuller coverage of existing and new
landfills in the Community. It is likely to require methane recovery.
The Directive on Integrated Pollution Prevention and Control could
also be applied to large landfills, and even if GHGs are not
specified in it, these emissions would be influenced by measures
taken to comply with it.
52. There is no Community strategy for controlling emissions of
HFCs, PFCs and SF6. The team noted that some member
countries control these gases at the national level, in particular
where they are emitted from industrial processes. It also noted that
for certain uses such gases are traded freely inside the Community,
which means that the Community level could be appropriate for some
types of policies and measures. Further, Community institutions
gather information, e.g. through industry surveys,
that could possibly provide relevant data for
policy-making.
53. Regarding the indirect GHGs, NOx, CO and
NMVOC, measures are taken to comply with the Convention on Long-Range
Transboundary Air Pollution as well as air quality standards. The
communication mentions that the Community standards for road
vehicles, which are legally binding for member states, have been
strengthened. Various member states have used fiscal incentives to
promote the introduction of cars that meet the new Community
standards before their mandatory application based on Council
Directive 92/458/EEC. There are also a number of other instruments
that regulate various sources of emissions of these gases, including
the above mentioned Directive on Integrated Pollution Prevention and
Control, the directive on large combustion plants and specific
regulations to reduce emissions of NMVOC from solvents and fuels.
54. Unlike the case of agricultural policy, the Community does not
have sole competence in the area of forestry policy, and forestry
products are not covered in its market policy. Forestry support from
the Community level has arisen as means of establishing an
alternative non-agricultural source of incomes for farmers, as well
as for environment and rural development purposes, and is usually
supporting initiatives taken at local, regional and national level in
accordance with the principle of subsidiarity. There is Community
involvement in several different areas; fire protection and
atmospheric pollution prevention; role of forests in rural
development; statistical information gathering and monitoring; and
stewardship policy concerning animals and plant resources and the
protection of genetic variety.
55. The CAP reform has provided measures for afforestation of
agricultural land and the improvement of forests within agricultural
holdings, and 1340 million ECU have been granted for new forests and
rehabilitation of existing farm woodlands for the period 1993 to
1997. Structural funds for economic development are to some extent
used for forestry-related activites; for the period 1994-1999, 416
million ECU hav been budgeted to stimulate development in the least
developed areas and 545 million ECU to support restructuring of
agriculture. No systematic evaluation of the GHG results of these
programmes is available. In relation to local and regional pollution
and consequent damage to forests, the Community contributes to
monitoring efforts and thus provides information on the health of
forest areas. The Community programmes on protection against forest
fires, which are a threat to the carbon reservoirs and a source of
non-CO2 emissions, in particular in southern Europe,
centre on information and the development of prevention
strategies.
56. The communication included projections for CO2
emissions only. Two different kinds of estimate were provided, one
that could be characterized as a best guess estimate for 2000, and a
second based on a scenario approach, using extensive modelling and
expert assessments with a time perspective to 2020. The team assessed
possible developments in emissions of other gases and sequestration
by sinks from material that was provided during the review. The team
noted that member states presented projections in their own
communications, some showing stabilization or reductions and others
considerable growth, and that these are examined in separate in-depth
reviews.
57. In the section dealing with the Commission's working paper on
the European Union's Climate Strategy from March 1995, the
communication referred to an analysis suggesting that the Community
could face a 5-8 per cent growth in CO2 emissions for the
year 2000 compared to 1990. This reflected prevailing expectations
about policies, economic growth and energy prices. Since then,
economic growth has been lower than expected so these emission levels
may be overestimated. Individual member states' projections have been
assessed under the monitoring mechanism and a conclusion from March
1996 is that the best estimate for 2000 would be a 0-5 per cent
increase over 1990 levels. Inside this picture, the team noted that
the transport sector is showing strong growth which could be more
than 20 per cent under a business-as-usual scenario.
58. The scenarios briefly presented in the communication were
mainly developed for energy policy purposes. The Commission has
sought involvement of member states in this work, to enhance
relevance and disseminate information to other decision makers. At
the point of departure are more holistic sets of scenario assumptions
on issues important for the energy futures of Europe, and then
illustrations are given of different developments in energy markets
through various combinations of energy policies and their
corresponding impact on CO2 emissions. This was all well
documented in background material provided to the team. The team
noted the explicit assessment of technological development
(inter-alia penetration of nuclear, renewables and more
efficient technologies utilizing fossil fuels) done in this exercise,
which is a critical factor in studies with such a long time
perspective. The outcome in terms of CO2 emissions in 2020
varies from -10 to +17 per cent compared to 1990 levels, which
should, however, not be seen as the extreme case in each direction.
The discussion also gave consideration to developments regarding
other direct and indirect GHGs. The team found these scenarios very
useful, even if their main focus was not on climate change policies,
in providing a sense of uncertainty and the scope for political
decisions. It noted that all of the scenarios foresee greater
improvements in CO2 and energy intensities than observed
in historical trends. In that way, they may be seen as optimistic and
illustrative of the fact that considerable growth in CO2
emissions is possible. These scenarios were used as supporting
information for a white paper which outlines energy policy directions
and for proposed strategies on renewable energy at the Community
level.
59. A number of factors are crucial for the development of
CO2 emissions in the Community. Deregulation, which was
recently agreed at the Community level for a part of the electricity
market and discussed for the gas market, poses great uncertainties in
the medium and long term, as well as challenges to policy-makers in
adapting to this new situation. At present it is difficult to assess
the longer term effects, as these will depend crucially on the
availability and competitiveness of natural gas, the political
acceptance of nuclear power, and the economic performance of
technologies based on nuclear and other fuels, including both
renewables and coal. The extension of Community membership will also
be important for the emissions development.
60. The communication refers to a 1993 study estimating that
methane emissions could be reduced by around 10 per cent from 1990 to
2005 for the then 12 member states as a result of policies already
implemented nationally. In their first communications under the
UNFCCC member states generally projected stabilization or decline in
these emissions, although that trend is not yet evident in the
inventories for the early 1990s. A number of the member states expect
substantial falls in emissions in the last half of the 1990s,
particularly thanks to changed waste policies. Also the CAP is
entailing considerable reductions through cuts in livestock numbers,
although this could partly be offset by emissions accompanying
increased use of natural gas. Still, a report from the European
Environment Agency issued in 1996 notes that methane emissions are
expected to increase from the 1990 level, while the prospects for
N2O were considered more mixed. For N2O, the
CAP reform gains are also noted but with potentially offsetting
increases in N2O resulting from the transport sector,
following the increased use of catalytic converters. The information
the team obtained on the land-use change and forestry sector
indicates that it could continue as a sink for some time. One factor
behind the net sink situation is that the forested area increased by
10 per cent between 1960 and 1990. It is uncertain whether the net
sink can be kept at the present level and, if so, for how
long.
61. The team noted that the Community is rapidly phasing out
substances regulated by the Montreal Protocol on Substance that
Deplete the Ozone Layer, and that this leads to increased use of
replacements such as the GHGs HFCs. Some member countries have
reduced or expect to reduce their industrial PFC emissions but too
few have reported to justify an overall assessment of the trend. The
communication provided estimates of 37 to 53 per cent reductions of
the emissions of indirect GHGs from the transport sector, which is
the dominant source for these gases inside the Community, following
measures to combat local and regional air pollution.
62. No estimates of the overall effects of policies and measures
were available to the team. There were also few estimates of the
individual effects of measures at the Community level in the
communication, while the material from the monitoring mechanism
included some assessments of measures implemented nationally. Such
estimates do not exist for specific Community programmes and their
overall effects. The team recognized that there were methodological
problems, and that the information from the countries was often
considered insufficient by the Commission. The team noted that
developing methodologies represented a challenge and would benefit
both the monitoring mechanism and the UNFCCC process.
ADAPTATION MEASURES 63. As the territory of the
European Community covers several climatic zones, climate change is
not expected to affect it in a homogeneous way. Detailed impact
assessments are complex and would be a function of local or regional
circumstances such as demography, land use and preparedness. The
communication describes in general terms some possible impacts of
climate change on the Community and its vulnerability. More detailed
assessments, to the extent they are carried out, are usually done at
the member state level. The communication gave general information on
possible impacts of climate change on agriculture, forestry and water
resources as well as sensitivity analysis programmes on matters such
as societal response to ecological vulnerability. It also referred to
a study putting monetary figures on possible effects, which estimated
that global warming will most likely represent a net economic cost
for the Community as a whole. However, costs and benefits are not
considered to be well understood at this stage.
64. The team noted that the Community is playing an important role
in increasing the understanding of impacts through its research
efforts. The second, third and fourth framework programmes on
research and development all contain specific programmes (e.g. the
Agricultural Research Programme, the European Programme on
Climatology and Natural Hazards (EPOCH), the Environment Programme of
the Joint Research Centre) which focus on such aspects as sea-level
rise and land resources (agriculture and forestry). The fourth
framework programme (1994-1998) contains specific objectives relating
to possible climate change impacts on economic sectors.
65. The Community strategy originally focused on mitigation
measures, but later issues related to adaptation were also
encompassed. Although most adaptation measures were addressed at the
member state level, there are activities at the Community level. For
example, the fifth environment action programme puts emphasis on
coastal zone management. The team also took note of the objectives of
the 1993 Helsinki Ministerial Conference on the Protection of Forests
in Europe, and noted that adaptation is a subject of attention in the
forestry as well as in the agriculture sectors. Development of a
common adaptation strategy is being discussed at the Community level,
although this initiative is still in an early state. The need for
more work on impacts, vulnerability and adaptation is recognized by
the Commission.
AND TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
66. The Community has an active policy of international
cooperation with countries and organizations outside its borders,
which comprises many types of activities. This is additional to the
activities of its member states, which have chosen to concentrate
some of their efforts at the Community level. Still there is no
common foreign aid policy. The Community is not a member of the
Global Environment Facility (although its member states are), but it
still allocated 4 million ECU in 1996 as new and additional resources
for co-financing programmes with GEF, mainly for climate change and
conservation of biodiversity. After the team's visit this has been
allocated to an energy efficiency project in China.
67. The Community has been expanding its cooperation with
developing countries in the environmental area, mainly on energy and
forestry, which could have a positive effect on CO2
emissions through technical assistance and grant aid even if climate
change is not a separate element in the programmes. Specific
programmes, such as those under the Lomé conventions (with
African, Caribbean and Pacific countries), and cooperation with Asian
and Latin American countries, largely aim at capacity building rather
than subsidizing investments. An important cooperation project is
being carried out jointly with other donors in Brazil, aiming at
developing sustainable forestry practices. Cooperation with former
centrally planned countries is a priority for the Community and is
done through the major programmes PHARE, which now covers the central
and eastern European states, and TACIS, which covers the former
Soviet Union republics in Asia. SYNERGY is a smaller programme
funding projects in energy planning and transfer of technology both
to developing countries and to eastern Europe. These programmes are
described in the communication. All cooperation projects undergo an
environmental impacts assessment, and under the most recent
Lomé convention each project's relevance to climate change has
to be explicitly assessed.
68. Cooperation with countries outside the Community is very much
a part of the Community's efforts to improve inventories of GHGs and
other pollutants through the CORINAIR system, which provides a
framework for cooperation in assessing emissions for the whole UN-ECE
region. Further, the Community's research and development programmes
also involve active participation by a number of countries from
outside the Community, in particular the countries of the European
Economic Area but also central and eastern European countries. This
also extends to the THERMIE programme for dissemination of energy
technologies, and the team noted the important role of the
organisations for the promotion of energy technologies known as
OPETs, that are widely spread also outside the Community. In
addition, the LIFE programme offers possibilities for funding of
environmental projects outside the Community.
69. So far the role of the Community vis-à-vis its member
states has not been defined in relation to implementation of projects
under the pilot phase of Activities Implemented Jointly, and thus it
has not been involved in such projects. However, some of its member
states are involved in such projects.
70. The team noted that the funding of research and development is
an area where the Community has a strong and increasing role,
although by far most of the funding is still provided by members
states' governments directly and by the private sector. The Community
channels considerable parts of these resources to activities relevant
for climate change. Research on scientific aspects has been funded
since the early 1980s. The team noted that several non-members of the
Community also take part in the research activities on an equal
footing. Most of the relevant activities were described in the
communication, which also describes participation in world-wide
cooperative research efforts.
71. Climate-related research programmes are based upon the
Community framework programmes of research and development (including
EPOCH and the Science and Technology for Environmental Protection
(STEP) programme, the Agricultural Research Programme and the Joint
Research Center's Environment Programme), the objectives of which are
discussed in the communication. The team noted that the Community has
provided essential support to key European institutes that have made
critical contributions to the IPCC and other scientific efforts to
study and document the science and potential impacts of climate
change.
72. The Community funds consultants, universities and European
centres to conduct research on climate diagnostics, natural climate
variations, signal detection, climate impact assessments and other
subjects. There are problems, though, which have to be addressed,
such as transparency of methodologies, credibility of results and
continuity of research. The team was briefed on activities that were
not included in the communication, including on-going research on
coal and bio-gasification. In particular in the agricultural sector,
some developments additional to those described in the communication
were presented to the team, such as further work on alternative crop
productivity, genetic breeding and quantitative impacts related to
soil erosion and nitrogen balance. It was recognized that more
research is needed to find feasible ways of abating methane emissions
from ruminants. The Community is planning to extend research beyond
its geographical boundary on such issues as remote sensing, droughts
and desertification, coordinated through its established European
Network for Research in Global Change (ENRICH)
programme.
73. The Community, under its fourth framework programme on
research and development for 1994 to 1998, provides around one
billion ECU for non-nuclear activities, also covering demonstration
and dissemination. In addition to what was mentioned in the
communication, about 800 million ECU for nuclear fission and about
600 million ECU for nuclear fusion are being provided inside the
framework of European cooperation, constituting more than half the
budget for energy-related research and development. In addition, the
Directorate General for Agriculture has a budget of 15-20 million ECU
for energy-related research and development. The team noted the
dominance of activities related to the supply side. Under the fourth
framework programme, JOULE was merged with the more
dissemination-oriented THERMIE programme to integrate research and
development with demonstration and promotion initiatives. The
programme emphasizes renewable energy and transport and support for
more rational use of energy, fossil fuel technology and information
dissemination. The team noted that this merger could be important in
terms of getting new and innovative technologies to the
market.
74. The team noted the importance of research in economics and
social sciences for developing a framework for decision-making, and
that the Community has recently increased its support to
socio-economic and policy relevant research. In this respect, efforts
under way include energy-oriented modelling incorporating work on
policies and measures and lifestyle issues, assessments of
institutional aspects of climate policy, and as integrated
environmental assessment research.
75. There are a number of activities at the Community level that
contribute to the public's knowledge of climate change and activities
relevant to it, although also in this area many tasks are the
responsibility of the member states. These include school curricula,
and thus documentation on member states' efforts to provide
environmental education in schools was not covered. The Community has
a code of conduct on access to its documents. There is wide
consultation with the member states, the general public and
non-governmental organisations at early stages of decision-making,
e.g. through green and white papers, although at later stages the
process is seen as less open. Regular reports on Community action are
produced which include information ranging from early warnings on
climate change to legislative initiatives.
76. Under existing programmes, including SAVE, ALTENER and
THERMIE-JOULE the Community provides research centres and
universities with funds to produce publications and bulletins, and to
convene seminars and conferences, as well as providing fellowships.
Dissemination to the public of the results of scientific research is
considered important, as is reflected in the budgets for such
activities. The European School of Climatology and Natural Hazards,
in close collaboration with leading European research institutions,
universities and non-governmental organisations, produces
publications to meet the diverse needs of the various concerned
audiences. Another example of information activities is the launching
by the European Environment Agency of a home page on the World Wide
Web in November 1995. This could play a key role in communicating
with the general public. Aid programmes also aim at providing
training in climate-friendly practices and informing decisionmakers,
and in addition a small budget line is set aside, e.g. through
SYNERGY, for public awareness programmes aimed at developing
countries.
77. The communication described a number of initiatives to support
in particular local communities and their organizations in efforts to
improve urban development, which often focus on improving the
environment-friendliness of transport. The Community participates in
pan-European programmes such as Sustainable Cities and Towns, the
Car-Free Cities Club and Cities for Climate Protection. These
programmes are supported through the International Council for Local
Environmental Initiatives.