Distr.

GENERAL



FCCC/SBSTA/1999/INF.4

11 May 1999



ENGLISH ONLY


SUBSIDIARY BODY FOR SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL ADVICE

Tenth session

Bonn, 31 May -11 June 1998

Item 5 (b) of the provisional agenda



 

METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES



 

EMISSIONS RESULTING FROM FUEL USED FOR

 

INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORTATION



 

Note by the secretariat



 

CONTENTS



Paragraphs Page



I. INTRODUCTION 1 - 4 3

 

A. Mandate 1 3

B. Scope of the note 2 - 3 3

C. Possible action by the SBSTA 4 3



II. BACKGROUND INFORMATION 5 - 16 4



A. Previous intergovernmental considerations 5 - 9 4

B. Definition of international bunker fuels 10 - 12 5

C. Gases emitted from the use of bunker fuels 13 - 16 6

 



GE.99-

Paragraphs Page



III. CURRENT INTERNATIONAL WORK 17 - 24 6



A. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 17 - 20 6

B. International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) 21 - 23 7

C. International Maritime Organization (IMO) 24 7



IV. CURRENT REPORTING IN NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS AND ANNUAL INVENTORY REPORTS 25 - 34 8



A. Emission estimates reported by Parties 26 - 28 8

B. Methods and data used by Parties to estimate emissions from international bunker fuels 29 - 34 9



 

I. INTRODUCTION



A. Mandate



1. The Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice (SBSTA), at its ninth session, requested the secretariat to provide information to the SBSTA, at its tenth session, on emissions resulting from fuel sold to ships or aircraft engaged in international transport, taking into account the ongoing work of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) and the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). It took note of the information provided by ICAO and requested the secretariat to invite representatives of ICAO and IMO to report on their work to the SBSTA at its tenth session (FCCC/SBSTA/1998/9, para. 51 (i)).



B. Scope of the note



2. This note has been prepared in response to the above mandate. It contains background information on previous intergovernmental considerations, the definition of international bunker fuels and on gases emitted from use of international bunker fuels. It considers information provided by international organizations, particularly the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), ICAO and IMO. Finally, it provides information on the current reporting of Parties in national communications and annual inventory reports. The data in this note provide a factual basis for further considerations.



3. Other documents containing information related to emissions from international bunker fuels are documents FCCC/SBSTA/1996/9/Add.1 on methodological issues and FCCC/SBSTA/1996/9/Add.2 containing detailed information on electricity trade and international bunker fuels. In addition, Parties may consider the IPCC Special Report on Aviation and the Global Atmosphere, which is to be made available at the tenth session of the SBSTA.



C. Possible action by the SBSTA



4. The SBSTA may wish to consider the information in this note to develop an approach for further elaborating on decision 2/CP.3 (FCCC/CP/1997/7/Add.1) and Article 2.2 of the Kyoto Protocol, to identify additional information needed and to provide guidance on the content and timing of preparatory work needed for future sessions, taking into account the work of IPCC, ICAO and IMO.

 

II. BACKGROUND INFORMATION



A. Previous intergovernmental considerations



5. The Revised Guidelines for the Preparation of National Communications by Parties included in Annex I to the Convention as adopted by the Conference of the Parties state that

"in providing information on emissions from international aviation and marine bunker fuels, and in accordance with the IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Parties should include such data, in a separate category, in their inventories of emissions on the basis of fuel sold and should, as far as possible, not include them in total national emissions" (FCCC/CP/1996/15/Add.1, annex to decision 9/CP.2, para. 17).



6. The SBSTA elaborated on the issue of international bunker fuels at its fourth session and "noted that there are three separate issues related to international bunker fuels: adequate and consistent inventories, allocation of emissions and control options. Appropriate allocation of responsibility for emissions from international bunker fuels would be connected to inventory and control issues. The SBSTA noted that eight options for allocation of bunker fuels were suggested in document FCCC/SBSTA/1996/9/Add.1, and considered that options 1, 3, 4, 5 and 6 should be the basis for its further work on the issue. With respect to option 1, it should be considered to recognize the responsibilities of the international community to address issues related to international bunker fuels. The SBSTA took note of the work of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), as well as the work of the Annex I expert group on policies and measures to address these emissions. The SBSTA noted the role of ICAO and the International Maritime Organization (IMO) in addressing the control of international bunker fuel emissions, and the opportunity for Parties to work through these bodies. The SBSTA encouraged Parties to report emissions from international aviation and marine bunker fuels as two separate entries in their national communications, in accordance with the revised 1996 IPCC guidelines" (FCCC/SBSTA/1996/20, para. 55).



7. Since the fourth session of the SBSTA, the adoption of the Kyoto Protocol introduced new elements that may affect further consideration of the issue of bunker fuels. These include the concept of a differentiated commitment based on assigned amounts for a particular period, the introduction of different base years, for example for HFCs, PFCs and SF6, and the provisions of mechanisms such as emissions trading.



8. In particular, Article 2.2 of the Kyoto Protocol states that "the Parties included in Annex I shall pursue limitation or reduction of emissions of greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol from aviation and marine bunker fuels, working through the International Civil Aviation Organization and the International Maritime Organization, respectively."



9. In addition, the Conference of the Parties (COP), in its decision 2/CP.3, recalled that, under the Revised 1996 Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, emissions based upon fuel sold to ships or aircraft engaged in international transport should not be included in national totals, but reported separately; and urged the Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice to further elaborate on the inclusion of these emissions in the overall greenhouse gas inventories of Parties (FCCC/CP/1997/7/Add.1).(1)



B. Definition of international bunker fuels



10. The term "international bunker fuels" refers in this paper to fuels used for international civil aviation or by seagoing ships engaged in international transport. The Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, referred to below as "the IPCC Guidelines", provide separate categories for emissions from international bunker fuels from the aviation and marine sectors.(2) These categories do not include international road transport. Emissions from international road transport are not reported in a separate category and, hence, are allocated to the Party where fuel is sold. Furthermore, it may be noted that the terms "international bunkers", "bunker fuels", or "bunkers" historically refer to marine fuels, but in the context of greenhouse gas inventories are generally used to denote the international share of fuel sold to ships and aircraft.



11. According to the IPCC Guidelines, emissions from these fuels should be estimated on the basis of fuels sold, that is, fuel taken on board by each departing aircraft or vessel. It should be distinct from emissions resulting from fuel consumed during a journey. The fuel intake of an aircraft, for example, does not necessarily take place in the country of departure. Since carrying excess fuel increases the weight of the aircraft and hence the amount of fuel required to reach the next airport, aircraft on long-haul flights usually only take on the amount of fuel required to reach the next airport. On shorter flights, aircraft may carry sufficient fuel for several stops, depending upon fuel prices, availability and other considerations.



12. Furthermore, complex relationships may exist in the shipping as well as in the aviation sector. These may affect data on fuel use. A ship, for example, may be owned by a company in one country, which itself is owned by other companies in another country, registered in a third country, operated by a ship-management company in a fourth country and crewed from a manning agency in a fifth country with nationals from other countries. Furthermore, carriage may be paid for by charterers, and in some cases a number of sub-charterers, based in other countries.

C. Gases emitted from the use of bunker fuels



13. "Aircraft emit gases and particles directly into the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere where they have an impact on atmospheric composition. These gases and particles alter the concentration of atmospheric greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide (CO2), ozone (O3) and methane (CH4); trigger formation of condensation trails (contrails); and may increase cirrus cloudiness - all of which contribute to climate change."(3)



14. "The principal emissions of aircraft include the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and water vapor (H2O). Other major emissions are nitric oxide (NO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) (which together are termed NOx), sulfur oxides (SOx), and soot. The total amount of aviation fuel burned, as well as the total emissions of carbon dioxide, NOx, and water vapor by aircraft, are well known relative to other parameters important to this assessment."



15. The gases emitted from shipping include carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), as well as carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx), non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs) and sulphur oxides (SOx). CO2 is the major contributor, while the global warming impact imposed by NOx from shipping is considered to be small.



16. For additional information regarding the aviation and maritime sector, please refer to document FCCC/SBSTA/1996/9/Add.2.



III. CURRENT INTERNATIONAL WORK



A. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)



17. The IPCC Special Report on Aviation and the Global Atmosphere provides an assessment of the effects of aircraft on the climate and atmospheric ozone. It contains information on the impact and projected growth of emissions as well as options to limit or reduce them. The following paragraphs present some of its findings.



18. "The best estimate of the radiative forcing in 1992 by aircraft is 0.05 Wm-2 or about 3.5 per cent of the total radiative forcing by all anthropogenic activities. For the reference scenario (Fa1), the radiative forcing by aircraft in 2050 is 0.19 Wm-2 or 5 per cent of the radiative forcing in the mid-range IS92a scenario (3.8 times the value in 1992)."



19. While the effects of CO2 emissions from aircraft are indistinguishable from the same quantity of CO2 emitted by any other source, other emissions from aircraft have a greater effect on the climate due to emissions at high altitudes. "Over the period from 1992 to 2050, the overall radiative forcing by aircraft (excluding that from change of cirrus clouds) for all scenarios

of this report is a factor 2 to 4 larger than the forcing by aircraft carbon dioxide alone. The overall radiative forcing for the sum of all human activities is estimated to be at most a factor of 1.5 larger than that of carbon dioxide alone."



20. The information provided on options to reduce emissions and impacts includes aircraft and engine technology options, fuel options, operational options, and regulatory and economic options, which consist of engine emissions certification, market-based options such as environmental levies (charges and taxes) and emissions trading, as well as voluntary agreements.



B. International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)



21. The 32nd session of the ICAO Assembly (22 September to 2 October 1998) underlined the importance of the Kyoto Protocol and, in a resolution, requested the Council of ICAO to study policy options to limit or reduce the greenhouse gas emissions from civil aviation, taking into account the findings of the IPCC Special Report on Aviation and the Global Atmosphere and the requirements of the Kyoto Protocol, and to report to the next ordinary session of the Assembly in September/October 2001.



22. The work of ICAO related to greenhouse gas emissions falls into three categories: technology and standards, including improved engine or airframe design; operational measures, such as more direct routings through satellite-based communication, navigation, surveillance and air traffic management (CNS/ATM) systems; and market-based options such as emission-related levies (charges or taxes) and emissions trading.



23. Further, the ICAO Assembly considered how ICAO might be able to contribute to an elaboration on decision 2/CP.3. It agreed on the need for continued co-operation with the secretariat of the UNFCCC on this issue, and endorsed further immediate work by ICAO on the effects of the various options that have been suggested by the SBSTA. Such activities would be in close liaison with SBSTA to make proposals for a suitable methodology for allocation.



C. International Maritime Organization (IMO)



24. The Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC) of IMO, at its 42nd session (2 to 6 November 1998), agreed to invite the secretariat of IMO to undertake a study concerning greenhouse gas emissions from ships. It will include the current status of greenhouse gas emissions from ships, as well as short- and long-term measures for the reduction of emissions. The report will be available for the 44th session of the MEPC in March 2000. The outcome of the study will form the basis for the MEPC's considerations and development of a policy document on greenhouse gas emissions from ships, which should be forwarded to the secretariat of the UNFCCC.





IV. CURRENT REPORTING IN NATIONAL COMMUNICATIONS

AND ANNUAL INVENTORY REPORTS



25. This section provides the estimates of international bunker fuel emissions of Parties on the basis of the latest inventory submissions to the secretariat at the date of preparation of this document. Information from either annual inventory reports or, where not available, second national communications was used. It also includes a preliminary analysis of the methods and data used by Parties for the estimation of these emissions.



A. Emission estimates reported by Parties



26. For the 25 Annex I Parties which reported CO2 emissions from international bunker fuels for 1990 separately, these emissions account for 2.5 per cent and 2.7 per cent of their total CO2 emissions(4) in 1990 and 1994 respectively. For the 19 Annex I Parties which reported CO2 emissions from the marine and aviation sectors separately, emissions from international aviation bunkers accounted for 1.2 per cent, and emissions from international marine bunkers for 1.9 per cent of total CO2 emissions.



27. Of the 25 Parties that reported CO2 emissions from international bunker fuels separately, international bunker fuel emissions increased from 1990 to the last year reported (1994, 1995, 1996, or 1997) for 22 Parties. An increase of over 50 per cent was reported by four Parties. The share of CO2 emissions from international bunker fuels in relation to total national CO2 emissions (excluding emissions from land-use change and forestry) of individual Parties in 1990 generally ranged around 5 per cent and for some Parties up to 25 per cent. From 1990 to the last year reported (1994, 1995, 1996, or 1997), this share increased for 18 Parties and decreased for seven Parties. Hence, under the assumption that these emissions were to be included in national totals, this inclusion would affect the trend in CO2 emissions upwards, for 18 Parties, by an average of 0.7 percentage points, and downwards, for seven Parties, by an average of -0.4 percentage points. The effect on the trend is small for those Parties whose emissions from international bunker fuels are small and/or whose trend of international bunker fuel emissions is similar to that of total emissions.



28. Table 1 shows the number of Parties which reported emissions from international bunker fuels separately. The total number of Annex I Parties considered is 37. The two Parties which reported that these emissions are negligible were not included in counting the reporting Parties. Table 2 presents the CO2 emissions from international bunker fuels, 1990-1997, in gigagrams and percentage of 1990 levels. Tables 3 and 4 present the emissions of CO2, CH4, N2O, CO, NOx, NMVOCs and SO2 from international bunker fuels, 1990. Table 5 presents the percentage share of CO2 emissions from international bunker fuels in relation to total national CO2 emissions (excluding land-use change and forestry). Table 7 shows the trend in total CO2



emissions and the trend including international bunker fuels, as a percentage of the respective 1990 levels, as well as the difference in these trends for the last reported year in percentage points, all estimates excluding land-use change and forestry.



Table 1. Number of Parties which reported emissions from international bunker fuels separately for 1990(5)



Gas

Emissions from international bunker fuels

Aviation and marine separate

Number of Parties

Percentage

Number of Parties

Percentage

CO2

25

68

19

51

CH4

21

57

16

43

N2O

20

54

14

38

CO

18

49

14

38

NOx

19

51

14

38

NMVOCs

18

49

14

38

SO2

10

27

8

22



B. Methods and data used by Parties to estimate emissions from international bunker fuels



29. This section presents the findings of a study undertaken by the secretariat, with the assistance of a consultant, to identify and assess the procedures for data collection, methods used to estimate emissions, and barriers which prevent consistent reporting.



30. The preliminary analysis suggests that the major barriers to reporting emissions from international bunker fuels consistently include: availability of data to make the required split between domestic and international; consistent use of definitions of domestic and international; and consistent use of methods to estimate the emissions.



31. For some Parties, the distinction between domestic and international is not given in national energy statistics. Hence, several Parties were not in a position to report emissions from international bunker fuels separately (tables 1 and 2) or employed different definitions regarding the international share of emissions from ships and aircraft.



32. For example, Hungary and Ireland consider all emissions from fuel sold to ships and aircraft as international. Further, Norway reports difficulties in isolating domestic from international data for airline companies with extensive national and international traffic via other Nordic countries. Germany assumes 20 per cent of the air traffic to be domestic and is currently undertaking a research project to corroborate this assumption. Canada considers all emissions which are based on fuel sold to foreign registered vessels and aircraft as international. Other Parties report difficulties in reporting these emissions separately.



33. The implications of the use of different definitions in terms of emissions is difficult to estimate with the data available at present. The split between domestic and international emissions for reporting Parties may give an indication of the implications of the use of different definitions. Table 6 presents domestic and international CO2 emissions from transport and the share of each in 1990 for selected Parties which reported international emissions separately and emissions of domestic transport in sufficient detail. The limited data suggest that for countries with a small area, the domestic share of the emissions is rather low (Belgium) whereas in countries with a large area, the domestic share is rather high (Canada).



34. The data currently collected by some Parties is based on fuel sold to ships and aircraft engaged in international transport, as required by the IPCC Guidelines. Some Parties also collect data on the amount of fuel sold to foreign registered companies. Additional data which could be relevant include the amount of fuel sold to foreign registered transport companies, aircraft, ships or operators, and countries of departure and destination for all journeys of all ships and aircraft and of all passengers and cargo engaged in international transport. These data could be derived from global flight schedules, which are limited to scheduled flights, or global sales databases for marine fuels. These sources of data are currently not available to the secretariat. If these data are not available elsewhere, it might take Parties three to five years to put in place systems to collect and report such information in a consistent manner. The cost of additional data collection cannot be determined by the secretariat. If Parties were to collect such data, the reporting format for these emissions and the guidelines for the preparation of national communications (including part I of the reporting guidelines on inventories) would possibly need further modifications.

Table 2. CO2 emissions from international bunker fuels, 1990-1997

(Gigagrams and percentage relative to 1990, 1990=100)





1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

(Gg)

(Gg)

(%)

(Gg)

(%)

(Gg)

(%)

(Gg)

(%)

(Gg)

(%)

(Gg)

(%)

(Gg)

(%)

Australia

6 401

6 379

100

6 584

6 988

109

7 240

113

8 533

133

9 031

141

Austriaa

890

1 040

117

1 110

125

1 080

121

1 140

128

1 220

137

1 380

155

Belgium

15

15 980

102

16

106

16

107

16

102

15

99

18

116

Bulgariab

162

878

541

873

844

520

850

523

882

543

Canada

4 920

4 610

94

4 640

94

4 290

87

4 540

92

4 710

96

5 170

105

Czech Republic

459

Denmark

4 986

4 507

90

4 677

94

6 041

121

6 736

135

7 080

142

6 970

140

Estoniac

Finland

2 800

3 000

107

2 500

89

2 120

76

1 800

64

2 100

75

2 300

82

France

15

15 846

102

16

109

17

110

16

107

17

112

18

117

Germany

19

18 102

93

17

91

19

102

19

102

19

102

19

102

Greece

10

9 446

91

10

102

12

122

13

127

13

133

12

119

Hungaryad

376

100

386

103

361

96

532

141

524

139

560

149

Iceland

319

260

82

264

83

293

92

307

96

377

118

Ireland

1 172

1 316

112

1 124

96

1 546

132

1 350

115

1 510

129

1 605

137

Italy

12

12

102

13

107

Japan

30

33 036

107

34

111

36

119

37

122

37

121

32

105

Latviac

Liechtensteinc

Lithuaniac

Luxembourga

111

194

175

194

175

Monacoe

Netherlands

40

41 700

103

42

106

44

110

43

107

44

110

45

113

New Zealand

2 384

2 205

92

2 189

92

2 256

95

2 768

116

2 708

114

2 580

108

Norway

1 988

1 786

90

2 130

107

2 334

117

2 402

121

2 828

142

3 112

157

Poland

2 068

Portugal

2 062

2 068

100

2 133

103

1 848

90

1 850

90

Romaniac

Russian Federation

12

10

81

Slovakiae

Sloveniac

Spainf

18

18 824

104

19

108

17

99

19

106

Sweden

4 207

4 331

103

4 816

114

4 855

115

5 400

128

5 367

128

4 899

116

Switzerlanda

2 160

2 200

102

2 240

104

2 290

106

2 330

108

2 430

113

2 500

116

Ukrainec

United Kingdom

21

20 909

98

22

107

23

112

24

114

26

122

28

132

United States

83

87 800

105

91

109

83

100

81

98

86

104

82

99



a Party is landlocked and does not have marine bunkers.

b 1990 column contains values for 1988, the base year for Bulgaria. The percentages are related to the base year 1988.

c Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels.

d Party did not provide estimate for 1990. The percentages are related to the year 1991.

e Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels, but indicated that emissions were negligible.

f Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels in 1998 inventory submission. Values are taken from second national communication.



Table 3. Emissions of CO2, CH4 and N2O from international bunker fuels, 1990 (Gigagrams)

CO2

CH4

N2O

Aviation

Marine

Total

Aviation

Marine

Total

Aviation

Marine

Total

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

Australia

4 345

2 056

6 401

0.01

0.69

0.70

0.13

0.06

0.19

Austriaa

890

890

0.00

0.00

0.01

0.01

Belgium

2 370

13 356

15 726

Bulgariab

162

0.00

0.00

Canada

2 860

2 070

4 920

0.10

0.10

0.10

0.30

0.30

0.60

Czech Republicc

Denmark

4 986

0.00

0.00

Estoniac

Finland

2 800

1.30

1.20

France

7 351

8 136

15 488

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.26

0.26

Germany

11 589

7 980

19 569

0.20

0.30

0.50

0.20

0.40

0.60

Greece

2 452

7 971

10 423

0.40

0.80

1.20

0.10

0.50

0.60

Hungaryc

Iceland

319

0.00

0.00

Ireland

1 172

0.00

0.00

Italy

3 737

8 467

12 204

0.30

0.80

1.10

0.10

0.50

0.60

Japan

13 184

17 621

30 806

0.37

1.31

1.68

0.00

0.37

0.37

Latviac

Liechtensteinc

Lithuaniac

Luxembourga

111

111

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Monacod

Netherlands

4 500

35 900

40 400

New Zealand

1 353

1 031

2 384

0.03

0.10

0.13

0.02

0.03

0.05

Norway

510

1 478

1 988

0.00

0.11

0.11

0.02

0.04

0.05

Polandc

Portugal

888

1 173

2 062

0.23

1.86

2.08

0.01

0.03

0.04

Romaniac

Russian Federation

2 900

9 500

12 400

0.02

0.63

0.65

0.08

0.08

0.16

Slovakiad

Sloveniac

Spaine

5 948

12 076

18 024

1.47

0.55

2.03

0.30

0.30

Sweden

2 045

2 162

4 207

0.10

0.10

Switzerlanda

2 160

2 160

Ukrainec

United Kingdom

14 791

6 559

21 349

2.85

0.60

3.46

0.45

0.42

0.87

United States

83 400



Note: Estimates of aviation and marine may not add up to the total due to rounding.



a Party is landlocked and does not have marine bunkers.

b 1990 column contains values for 1988, the base year for Bulgaria.

c Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels for 1990.

d Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels, but indicated that emissions were negligible.

e Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels in 1998 inventory submission. Values are taken from second national communication.

Table 4. Emissions of CO, NOx, NMVOCs and SO2 from international bunker fuels, 1990

(Gigagrams)

CO

NOx

NMVOCs

SO2

Aviation

Marine

Total

Aviation

Marine

Total

Aviation

Marine

Total

Aviation

Marine

Total

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

(Gg)

Australia

7.03

1.92

8.95

23.21

54.68

77.90

3.59

1.70

5.29

Austriaa

1.54

1.54

4.73

4.73

0.60

0.60

0.29

0.29

Belgium

Bulgariab

1.80

22.40

0.30

Canada

Czech Republicc

Denmark

9.00

85.00

3.00

55.00

Estoniac

Finland

22.00

France

17.34

2.10

19.44

57.60

154.75

212.35

8.52

70.82

79.34

2.40

150.77

153.17

Germany

56.60

37.30

93.90

50.60

155.30

205.90

9.30

15.20

24.50

3.90

126.30

130.20

Greece

32.50

23.20

55.70

20.40

195.50

215.90

5.80

5.70

11.40

0.80

154.60

155.40

Hungaryc

Iceland

0.80

3.20

0.10

0.10

Ireland

2.19

5.35

0.36

Italy

3.50

20.00

23.50

12.00

194.30

206.30

2.50

5.70

8.20

1.20

131.20

132.40

Japan

22.39

33.59

55.98

54.11

335.86

389.97

3.36

9.70

13.06

Latviac

Liechtensteinc

Lithuaniac

Luxembourga

0.27

0.27

0.07

0.07

0.09

0.09

Monacod

Netherlands

New Zealand

2.19

2.49

4.67

5.57

24.86

30.43

0.34

0.71

1.05

0.09

9.30

9.39

Norway

1.64

1.44

3.08

1.45

30.26

31.71

0.61

1.11

1.73

0.05

9.90

9.95

Polandc

Portugal

1.72

0.72

2.44

3.51

33.01

36.52

0.03

0.09

0.11

Romaniac

Russian Federation

Slovakiad

Sloveniac

Spaine

9.82

7.19

17.01

23.61

249.26

272.87

0.19

11.24

11.43

Sweden

3.70

2.50

6.20

4.20

48.00

52.20

0.50

1.00

1.50

Switzerlanda

Ukrainec

United Kingdom

60.06

15.53

75.59

72.79

119.63

192.41

36.87

4.43

41.30

3.76

92.48

96.23

United States



Note: Estimates of aviation and marine may not add up to the total due to rounding.



a Party is landlocked and does not have marine bunkers.

b 1990 column contains values for 1988, the base year for Bulgaria.

c Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels for 1990.

d Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels, but indicated that emissions were negligible.

e Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels in 1998 inventory submission. Values are taken from second national communication.

Table 5. Percentage share of CO2 emissions from international bunker fuels in relation to total CO2 emissionsa (excluding emissions from land-use change and forestry), 1990 -1997

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

(%)

Australia

2.3

2.3

2.4

2.5

2.5

2.9

2.9

Austriab

1.4

1.6

1.8

1.8

1.9

1.9

2.1

Belgium

13.5

13.3

14.1

14.5

13.2

12.8

14.2

Bulgariac

0.2

1.3

1.5

1.4

1.4

1.4

Canada

1.1

1.0

1.0

0.9

1.0

1.0

1.0

Czech Republic

0.3

Denmark

9.5

7.2

8.1

10.2

10.6

11.9

9.5

Estoniad

Finland

4.7

5.7

4.7

3.6

3.0

3.2

3.6

France

4.0

3.8

4.1

4.4

4.3

4.4

4.5

Germany

1.9

1.9

1.9

2.2

2.2

2.2

2.2

Greece

12.2

11.1

12.2

14.5

14.9

15.3

13.5

Hungaryb

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.9

0.9

0.9

Iceland

14.9

12.6

12.0

12.7

13.6

16.5

Ireland

3.8

4.2

3.5

4.8

4.1

4.4

4.6

Italy

2.8

3.0

3.0

Japan

2.7

2.9

2.9

3.2

3.1

3.1

2.6

Latviad

Liechtensteind

Lithuaniad

Luxembourgb

0.9

1.6

2.0

Monacoe

Netherlands

25.0

25.0

25.9

26.6

25.7

25.2

24.8

New Zealand

9.4

8.5

7.9

8.3

10.2

10.0

8.9

Norway

5.6

5.3

6.2

6.5

6.4

7.4

7.6

Poland

0.6

Portugal

4.4

4.2

4.0

3.7

3.6

Romaniad

Russian Federation

0.5

0.6

Slovakiae

Sloveniad

Spainf

8.0

8.3

8.3

7.9

8.1

Sweden

7.6

7.8

8.6

8.7

9.2

9.2

7.7

Switzerlandb

4.8

4.7

4.9

5.2

5.4

5.5

5.6

Ukrained

United Kingdom

3.7

3.6

4.0

4.3

4.4

4.8

5.0

United States

1.7

1.8

1.8

1.6

1.6

1.7

1.5



a Total CO2 emissions exclude emissions from international bunker fuels.

b Party is landlocked and does not have marine bunkers.

c 1990 column contains values for 1988, the base year for Bulgaria.

d Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels.

e Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels, but indicated that emissions were negligible.

f Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels in 1998 inventory submission. Values are taken from second national communication.

Table 6. Domestic and international CO2 emissions from transport and percentage share of each for selected Parties, 1990



Domestic

International

Domestic share

International share

A

B

A/(A+B)*100

B/(A+B)*100

Gg (CO2)

Gg (CO2)

%

%

Australia

aviation

2 555

4 345

37

63

Australia

marine

2 224

2056

52

48

Austria

aviation (1995)

90

1 210

7

93

Belgium

aviation

7

2 370

0.3

99.7

Belgium

marine

378

13 356

3

97

Canada

aviation

10 300

2 860

78

22

Canada

marine

5 720

2 070

73

27

Germanya

aviation

2 897

11 589

20

80

Germany

marine

1 396

7 980

15

85

New Zealand

aviation

781

1 353

37

63

New Zealand

marine

221

1 031

18

82

Sweden

aviation

682

2 045

25

75

Sweden

marine

652

2 162

23

77

Switzerland

aviation (1995)

1 245

2 430

34

66



a Due to unavailability of data it is assumed that 20 per cent of the emissions are domestic.



Table 7. Trend in total CO2 emissionsa and the trend in total CO2 emissions including international bunker fuels as a percentage of the respective 1990 levels, and difference for the last reported year in percentage points (all estimates excluding land-use change and forestry)

Percentage relative to 1990, 1990 = 100

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

Differenceb

(Gg)

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

percentage

points

Australia

excl.

275 344

100.6

101.5

102.8

104.2

108.3

112.0

0.7

Australia

incl.

281 745

100.6

101.5

102.9

104.4

108.9

112.7

Austriac

excl.

62 100

107.6

97.7

96.0

96.6

102.4

104.7

0.7

Austria

incl.

62 990

107.7

98.1

96.3

97.1

102.9

105.4

Belgium

excl.

116 090

103.4

101.9

99.8

104.5

104.9

110.7

0.7

Belgium

incl.

131 816

103.2

102.4

100.6

104.2

104.2

111.4

Bulgariad

excl.

96 878

68.3

62.1

64.4

61.5

64.2

0.8

Bulgaria

incl.

97 040

69.1

62.9

65.2

62.2

65.0

Canada

excl.

460 899

97.9

101.0

101.4

103.5

107.4

110.3

-0.1

Canada

incl.

465 819

97.9

100.9

101.2

103.3

107.3

110.3

Czech Republice

excl.

165 490

92.5

84.7

81.5

77.2

77.8

80.1

Czech Republic

incl.

Denmark

excl.

52 277

120.4

110.3

113.5

121.2

113.9

140.1

0.0

Denmark

incl.

57 263

117.8

108.8

114.2

122.4

116.3

140.1

Estoniaf

excl.

37 797

97.8

73.5

58.2

60.5

55.2

56.7

Estonia

incl.

Finland

excl.

59 200

88.5

89.7

100.1

102.9

112.1

109.1

-1.2

Finland

incl.

62 000

89.4

89.7

99.0

101.1

110.4

107.9

France

excl.

390 708

106.8

104.8

99.2

98.9

100.7

104.1

0.5

France

incl.

406 196

106.6

104.9

99.6

99.2

101.1

104.6

Germany

excl.

1 014 155

96.2

91.4

90.5

89.2

88.2

89.7

0.2

Germany

incl.

1 033 724

96.1

91.4

90.8

89.4

88.5

90.0

Greece

excl.

85 349

99.6

101.9

102.4

104.0

105.8

107.8

1.3

Greece

incl.

95 772

98.6

101.9

104.6

106.4

108.7

109.0

Hungarycg

excl.

67 391

89.9

90.3

87.8

88.7

89.7

0.3

Hungary

incl.

67 767

89.9

90.3

88.1

89.0

90.1

Iceland

excl.

2 147

96.3

102.3

107.2

105.5

106.3

1.5

Iceland

incl.

2 466

94.4

99.8

105.2

104.3

107.8

Ireland

excl.

30 719

103.0

105.4

104.0

108.5

111.1

113.3

0.9

Ireland

incl.

31 891

103.3

105.0

105.0

108.7

111.7

114.2

Italy

excl.

432 150

95.4

101.2

0.2

Italy

incl.

444 354

95.6

101.4

Japan

excl.

1 124 532

102.1

103.4

101.7

108.0

108.5

109.8

-0.1

Japan

incl.

1 155 338

102.2

103.6

102.2

108.3

108.8

109.7

Latviaf

excl.

24 771

78.4

66.3

58.5

48.1

48.6

44.7

Latvia

incl.

Liechtensteinf

excl.

208

Liechtenstein

incl.

Lithuaniaf

excl.

39 535

Lithuania

incl.

Luxembourgc

excl.

12 750

94.1

74.9

0.9

Luxembourg

incl.

12 861

94.8

75.7



(continued)



Percentage relative to 1990, 1990 = 100

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

Differencej

(Gg)

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

percentage

points

Monacoh

excl.

108

115.7

123.1

125.0

127.8

125

130.6

Monaco

incl.

Netherlands

excl.

161 360

103.4

102.4

103.8

104.4

109.6

114.6

-0.2

Netherlands

incl.

201 760

103.4

103.0

105.1

104.9

109.8

114.3

New Zealand

excl.

25 241

102.2

109.8

107.2

107.3

107.1

114.9

-0.6

New Zealand

incl.

27 625

101.3

108.3

106.1

108.1

107.7

114.3

Norway

excl.

35 457

95.3

97.1

101.2

106.5

107.5

115.8

2.2

Norway

incl.

37 445

95.0

97.6

102.1

107.3

109.4

118.0

Polande

excl.

476 625

78.0

78.0

78.2

Poland

incl.

Portugal

excl.

47 123

103.7

112.5

106.6

107.9

-0.8

Portugal

incl.

49 185

103.6

112.1

105.9

107.1

Romaniafi

excl.

194 826

69.6

66.8

65.2

64.5

Romania

incl.

Russian Federation

excl.

2 372 300

92.5

84.6

78.2

70.0

0.1

Russian Federation

incl.

2 384 700

70.0

Slovakiahj

excl.

50039.0

91.2

87.1

80.7

90.6

92.1

Slovakia

incl.

Sloveniaf

excl.

13 935

Slovenia

incl.

Spaink

excl.

226 423

100.5

103.8

99.9

104.9

0.1

Spain

incl.

244 447

100.8

104.1

99.8

105.0

Sweden

excl.

55 445

99.6

101.0

101.0

105.5

104.8

114.3

0.2

Sweden

incl.

59 652

99.8

102.0

102.0

107.1

106.4

114.4

Switzerlandc

excl.

45 070

103.5

100.8

97.6

96.2

98.0

99.8

0.7

Switzerland

incl.

47 230

103.4

100.9

97.9

96.7

98.7

100.5

Ukrainef

excl.

700 107

Ukraine

incl.

United Kingdom

excl.

583 165

100.7

97.9

95.5

94.9

93.2

96.6

1.2

United Kingdom

incl.

604 514

100.6

98.2

96.1

95.5

94.3

97.9

United States

excl.

4 943 300

98.9

100.4

102.8

104.5

105.3

109.1

-0.2

United States

incl.

5 026 700

99.0

100.5

102.7

104.4

105.2

108.9



Note: "excl." denotes trend in total CO2 emissions excluding emissions from international bunker fuels.

"incl." denotes trend in total CO2 emissions including emissions from international bunker fuels.

 

a Total CO2 emissions exclude emissions from international bunker fuels.

b The difference in trend for the last reported year between emissions including and excluding international bunker fuels. Example Australia: 112.7 per cent (incl.) minus 112.0 per cent (excl.) equals 0.7 percentage points. Differences may occur due to rounding (Canada, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Russian Federation, Sweden, United Kingdom).

c Party is landlocked and does not have marine bunkers.

d 1990 column contains values for 1988, the base year for Bulgaria. The percentages are related to the base year 1988.

e Party provided estimates for international bunker fuels only for 1996.

f Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels.

g Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels for 1990. Absolute values in Gg are given in column for 1991. The percentages in the other columns are related to the year 1991.

h Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels, but indicated that emissions were negligible.

i 1990 column contains value for 1989, the base year for Romania. The percentages are related to the base year 1989.

j Party did not provide estimates for 1990 in the 1998 inventory submission. Absolute value in Gg is given in column for 1991. The percentages in the other columns are related to the year 1991.

k Party did not provide estimates for international bunker fuels in 1998 inventory submission. Values are taken from second national communication.

 

- - - - -

1. It would be up to the Parties to determine whether, and if so when, the inclusion of international bunker fuels into national totals would affect "assigned amounts" as defined in Article 3 of the Kyoto Protocol. If emissions from international bunker fuels were included in the base year and the "assigned amounts" of Parties, and if bunker emissions were to increase faster or decrease slower than the emissions from other sources, it would make it more difficult for Parties to meet their commitment under the Kyoto Protocol. Conversely, if bunker emissions were to increase slower or decrease faster than the emissions from other sources, it would make it easier for Parties to meet their commitment under the Kyoto Protocol.

2. IPCC source category 1A3a-i for international aviation bunkers and 1A3d-i for international marine bunkers.

3. See IPCC Special Report on Aviation and the Global Atmosphere. Quotations in paragraphs 14, 18 and 19 are from the same source.

4. Total CO2 emissions exclude emissions from international bunker fuels.

5. The total number of Annex I Parties considered is 37. The two Parties which reported that these emissions are negligible, were not included in counting the reporting Parties. Parties which are landlocked nations and do not have marine bunkers were included in counting the Parties that reported aviation and marine separately.