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The Kyoto Protocol was adopted at the third Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC (COP 3) in
Kyoto, Japan, on 11 December 1997. The Protocol shares the objective and institutions of the
Convention. The major distinction between the two, however, is that while the Convention encouraged
industrialized countries to stabilize GHG emissions, the Protocol commits them to do so. The
detailed rules for its implementation were adopted at COP 7 in Marrakesh in 2001, and are called the
“Marrakesh Accords.”
The Protocol places a heavier burden on developed nations under the principle of “common but
differentiated responsibilities.” The Kyoto Protocol entered into force on
16 February 2005. 192 Parties have ratified the treaty to date.
Under the Protocol, 37 industrialized countries and the European Community have committed to reducing
their emissions by an average of 5 percent against 1990 levels over the five-year period 2008-2012.
For this group of countries, reductions of 11% are projected for the first Kyoto commitment period
from 2008 to 2012, provided policies and measures planned by these countries are put in place (see
Annex). These countries will also have to make use of the Protocol’s “flexible
mechanisms” in order to reach their collective emission reduction goal.
Flexibility in meeting targets
Emission targets for industrialized country Parties to the Kyoto Protocol are expressed as levels of
allowed emissions, or “assigned amounts”, over the 2008-2012 commitment period. Such
assigned amounts are denominated in tonnes (of CO2 equivalent emissions).
Industrialized countries must first and foremost take domestic action against climate change, but the
Protocol allows them a certain degree of flexibility in meeting their emission reduction commitments
through three innovative market-based mechanisms.
The Kyoto Mechanisms
The three Kyoto mechanisms are: Emissions Trading – known as “the carbon
market” – the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Joint Implementation (JI).
The carbon market spawned by these mechanisms is a key tool in reducing emissions worldwide. It was
worth 30 billion USD in 2006 and is set to increase.
JI and CDM are the two project-based mechanisms which feed the carbon market. JI enables
industrialized countries to carry out joint implementation projects with other developed countries
(usually countries with economies in transition), while the CDM involves investment in sustainable
development projects that reduce emissions in developing countries.
Since the beginning of 2006, the estimated potential of emission reductions to be delivered by the
CDM pipeline has grown dramatically to 2.9 billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent –
approximately the combined emissions of Australia, Germany and the United Kingdom. Overall, more than
1230 CDM projects have been registered as at November 2008, with around 4200 more in the project
pipeline.
For more on CDM visit: http://cdm.unfccc.int
Monitoring targets under the Protocol
Under the Protocol, countries’ actual emissions have to be monitored and precise records have
to be kept of the trades carried out. Parties must keep a national registry to track
and record transactions under the mechanisms. The secretariat keeps an independent
transaction log to verify that transactions are consistent with the rules of the Protocol,
and expert review teams have been set up to ensure compliance.
The International Transaction Log (ITL)
This sophisticated computerized system became operational in November 2007, thereby giving market
players the assurance that the cornerstone of the Kyoto trading system is in place before the actual
start of the Kyoto accounting period on 1 January 2008.
The UNFCCC system to support the implementation of the CDM – the CDM registry – also
started real-time operation in November 2007. This means that credits earned by industrialized
countries through the implementation of emission reduction projects in developing countries will
become tradeable as soon as their national registries begin using the ITL.
Adaptation
The Kyoto Protocol, like the Convention, is also designed to assist countries in adapting to the
inevitable effects of climate change and facilitates the development of techniques that can help
increase resilience to climate change impacts.
The Adaptation Fund was established to finance concrete adaptation projects and programmes in
developing countries that are Parties to the Kyoto Protocol. The Fund is to be financed with a
share of proceeds from CDM project activities and receive funds from other sources. The
share of proceeds from CDM project activities amounts to 2% of CERs issued for each project.
The road ahead
The Kyoto Protocol is generally seen as an important first step towards a truly global emission
reduction regime that will stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations. As a result of the Protocol,
governments have already put, and are continuing to put in place legislation and policies to meet
their commitments; a carbon market has been created; and more and more businesses are making the
investment decisions needed for a climate-friendly future. The Protocol provides much of the
essential architecture for any new international agreement or set of agreements on climate change.
GHG projections to 2010 for Annex I Parties to Convention[1]
|
|
Projected change in GHG emissions excluding LULUCF from 1990 to 2010 (%)
|
Projected change in GHG emissions including LULUCF from 1990 to 2010 (%)
|
|
Party
|
“with measures””
|
“with additional measures”
|
“with measures”
|
“with additional measures”
|
|
Australia
|
35.0
|
–
|
10.5
|
–
|
|
Austria
|
17.1
|
–1.2
|
–
|
–
|
|
Belarus*
|
–25.5
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Belgium
|
1.9
|
0.0
|
1.8
|
–0.1
|
|
Bulgaria*
|
–34.5
|
–40.4
|
–
|
–
|
|
Canada
|
38.2
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Croatia*a
|
–0.2
|
–11.8
|
–
|
–
|
|
Czech Republic*
|
–24.3
|
–26.7
|
–25.6
|
–28.0
|
|
Denmark
|
4.6
|
–
|
2.6
|
–
|
|
Estonia*
|
–56.0
|
–56.0
|
–
|
–
|
|
European Community
|
–1.6
|
–6.8
|
–
|
–
|
|
Finland
|
9.9
|
–2.5
|
–
|
–
|
|
France
|
6.3
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
–6.1
|
|
Germany
|
–21.3
|
–29.3
|
–
|
–
|
|
Greece
|
37.5
|
27.5
|
37.1
|
–
|
|
Hungary*
|
–28.5
|
–28.7
|
–28.4
|
–28.9
|
|
Iceland
|
37.7
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Ireland
|
30.3
|
–
|
26.3
|
–
|
|
Italy
|
11.3
|
3.7
|
–
|
–
|
|
Japan
|
10.4
|
3.6
|
–
|
–
|
|
Latvia*
|
–46.1
|
–48.6
|
–23.2
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–30.8
|
|
Liechtenstein
|
4.0
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Lithuania*
|
–39.9
|
–
|
–46.4
|
–
|
|
Netherlands
|
2.0
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–0.6
|
0.8
|
–
|
|
New Zealand
|
34.0
|
–
|
81.3
|
–
|
|
Norway
|
23.3
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Poland*
|
–26.1
|
–
|
–25.9
|
–
|
|
Portugal
|
46.7
|
42.7
|
–
|
–
|
|
Romania*
|
–26.6
|
–30.8
|
–22.8
|
–27.8
|
|
Russian Federation*
|
–21.3
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Slovakia*
|
–22.4
|
–24.7
|
–20.4
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–22.9
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|
Slovenia*
|
5.0
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–1.4
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–
|
–
|
|
Spain
|
52.5
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Sweden
|
–1.0
|
–
|
11.9
|
–
|
|
Switzerland
|
–3.2
|
–5.7
|
–4.0
|
–6.5
|
|
Turkey**
|
157.6
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Ukraine*
|
–47.9
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
United Kingdom
|
–18.5
|
–21.7
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–19.0
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–22.3
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United Statesb
|
26.4
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–
|
32.8
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–
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Abbreviations: LULUCF = land use, land-use change and forestry; EIT = economy in
transition.
a For Croatia, 3.5 Tg CO2 eq are added to the 1990 emissions to calculate the
base year level as per decision 7/CP.12.
b For the United States, the reported 2012 value is used as a 2010 estimate; GHG
projections for 2010 have not been reported in the NC4.
* A Party undergoing the process of transition to a market economy (an EIT Party).
** Decision 26/CP.7 invited Parties to recognize the special circumstances of Turkey,
which place Turkey in a situation different from that of other Parties included in Annex I to the
Convention.
Notes: (1): For those Parties which have not reported 2010 data but reported average emissions
in the period 2008–2012, the 2008–2012 averages are used as 2010 emissions. (2): The
‘with measures’ projection includes the policies and measures that are either implemented
or adopted, whereas the ‘with additional measures’ projection also includes that policies
and measures that are only planned (at the time when the projections were prepared).
(3): The definition of additional policies and measures differs considerably from Party to
Party.
GHG projections to 2008-2012 for Annex I Parties to Kyoto Protocol[2]
|
Party
|
Projected change in GHG emissions
from the base year to 2008-2012 on average (%)
|
Emission reduction target under Kyoto Protocol (%)
|
|
"with measures"
|
"with additional measures"
|
"with additional measures" minus expected RMUs and credits from
mechanisms
|
|
Austria
|
17.1
|
-1.2
|
-2.1
|
-13.0
|
|
Belarus*
|
-25.5
|
-
|
-
|
-8.0c
|
|
Belgium
|
1.1
|
-0.8
|
-6.6
|
-7.5
|
|
Bulgaria*
|
-37.1
|
-42.0
|
-
|
-8.0
|
|
Canada
|
38.2
|
-
|
-
|
-6.0
|
|
Croatia*
|
11.4
|
-1.6
|
-
|
-5.0
|
|
Czech Republic*
|
-24.4
|
-26.7
|
-
|
-8.0
|
|
Denmark
|
4.2
|
-
|
-2.7
|
-21.0
|
|
Estonia*
|
-56.0
|
-56.0
|
|
-8.0
|
|
European Community
|
-1.6
|
-6.8
|
-9.4
|
-8.0
|
|
Finland
|
11.8
|
2.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
Francea
|
-0.3
|
-
|
-
|
0.0
|
|
Germany
|
-21.3
|
-29.3
|
-
|
-21.0
|
|
Greece
|
34.1
|
24.4
|
-
|
25.0
|
|
Hungary*
|
-28.0
|
-28.2
|
-
|
-6.0
|
|
Icelandb
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
10.0
|
|
Ireland
|
30.2
|
-
|
-
|
13.0
|
|
Italy
|
13.1
|
0.9
|
-5.3
|
-6.5
|
|
Japan
|
6.0
|
-0.5
|
-6.0
|
-6.0
|
|
Latvia*
|
-46.1
|
-48.6
|
-
|
-8.0
|
|
Liechtenstein
|
4.0
|
-
|
-
|
-8.0
|
|
Lithuania*
|
-39.9
|
-
|
-
|
-8.0
|
|
Netherlands
|
0.0
|
-2.5
|
-11.8
|
-6.0
|
|
New Zealand
|
34.0
|
-
|
11.9
|
0.0
|
|
Norway
|
23.3
|
-
|
-
|
1.0
|
|
Poland*
|
-26.2
|
-
|
-
|
-6.0
|
|
Portugal
|
44.7
|
40.8
|
30.1
|
27.0
|
|
Romania*
|
-26.6
|
-30.8
|
-
|
-8.0
|
|
Russian Federation*
|
-21.3
|
-
|
-
|
0.0
|
|
Slovakia*
|
-22.4
|
-24.7
|
-
|
-8.0
|
|
Slovenia*
|
4.7
|
-1.6
|
-8.1
|
-8.0
|
|
Spain
|
51.3
|
-
|
44.3
|
15.0
|
|
Sweden
|
-1.0
|
-
|
-2.4
|
4.0
|
|
Switzerland
|
-3.2
|
-5.7
|
-12.2
|
-8.0
|
|
Ukraine*
|
-47.9
|
-
|
-
|
0.0
|
|
United Kingdom
|
-19.0
|
-22.2
|
-22.7
|
-12.5
|
Abbreviations: RMU = removal unit; LULUCF = land use, land-use change and forestry; EIT =
economy in transition.
Notes: (1): For most Parties, the 2010 value is used as an estimate for an average value in
the 2008-2012 period. (2): The 'with measures' projection includes the policies and measures
that are either implemented or adopted, whereas the 'with additional measures' projection
also includes that policies and measures that are only planned (at the time when the projections were
prepared). (3): The definition of additional policies and measures differs considerably from Party to
Party. (4): Targets under the "burden-sharing" agreement of the European Community are
shown in italics; (4) The base year data used by Parties in their projections are not always
consistent with the base year data reported in the annual GHG inventories; (5) The base year under
the Kyoto Protocol may slightly differ from that under the Convention because of a difference in
definition (e.g., 1995 can be used as the base year for fluorinated gases).
a The French report on demonstrable progress (RDP) contains quantitative data for one
scenario only, which is used here as a 'with measures' scenario; however, by the relative
change from the base year to 2010, this 'with measures' scenario of the RDP is close to the
'with additional measures' scenario of the fourth national communication (NC4).
b This projection for Iceland does not include the emissions that fall under decision
14/CP.7.
c An amendment to Annex B of the Kyoto Protocol concerning the emission reduction target
for Belarus was adopted by decision 10/CMP.2; at the time of the preparation of this report, this
amendment had not yet entered in force.
[1] Source:
FCCC/SBI/2007/INF.6/Add.1 (UNFCCC's compilation and synthesis report on the fourth national
communications from Annex I Parties).
[2] Source: FCCC/SBI/2007/INF.7/
(UNFCCC's compilation and synthesis report on the supplementary information reported by Annex I
Parties under the Kyoto Protocol).
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