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Brazilian Proposal
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Scientific and Methodological Assessment of Contributions to Climate Change
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Background
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As part of the negotiations on the Kyoto Protocol, the delegation of Brazil made a proposal in May 1997, to
set differentiated emission reduction targets for Parties according to the impact of their historic emissions
on temperature rise (FCCC/AGBM/1997/MISC.1/Add.3).
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Recent developments
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The SBSTA at its twenty-eight session (Bonn, June 2008), decided to conclude its consideration of this issue.
In the same session, the SBSTA agreed that the work carried out to date under the Brazilian Proposal has
established robust methodologies to quantify historical contributions to climate change and that this work
provided useful information.
The SBSTA noted that there are uncertainties in the underlying historical emissions data, particularly
regarding land-use change and forestry.
The SBSTA also noted that the results of the work done under the Brazilian Proposal may be relevant to the
work of Parties under other bodies and within other processes under the Convention and its Kyoto Protocol
(FCCC/SBSTA/2008/6, paras.
109-113).
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Earlier sessions
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At SBSTA 24 (Bonn, May 2006), the SBSTA noted, inter alia, that the participation of experts from
both developed and developing countries in this effort has fostered some capacity-building, and that
the process remains open to strengthen participation from scientists from developing countries.
It also noted that further work on this issue would be required, for example, to further quantify and
reduce uncertainties, to address gaps in knowledge, and to further improve the methodology, for
instance, by considering finer resolution of sources and longer timescales. The SBSTA
encouraged all Parties, research institutions and scientists interested in this issue to undertake
further work and to continue to exchange information and experience.
The scientific work was completed by the third quarter of 2007 and written
reports (133 kB) about the results of the work on this issue were forwarded to the secretariat
from research institutions and scientists engaged in this work through interested Parties.
The SBSTA requested the secretariat to organize an in-session special side event at SBSTA 27
(Bali, December 2007) at which all Parties, research institutions and scientists engaged in this work
could present their results. This side event was held on Wednesday, 5 December 2007, from 1.00 to
3.00 p.m. in Bali, Indonesia. The SBSTA invited Parties to submit to the secretariat, by 7 March
2008, their views on these and earlier results. These views are compiled in document FCCC/SBSTA/2008/MISC.2.
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Development of work on the Brazilian Proposal
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The delegation of Brazil organized a workshop on the proposal in 1998 and subsequently put forward a revised
version of the Proposal.
Based on mandates from the SBSTA, the secretariat organized two meetings on the proposal:
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first UNFCCC expert meeting (28-30 May 2001 in Bonn, Germany) on the review of the scientific and
methodological aspects of the Proposal by Brazil (FCCC/SBSTA/2001/INF.2);
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second UNFCCC expert meeting(25-27 September 2002 in Bracknell, UK) to assess the preliminary results
provided by the participating research institutions, to encourage cooperation between developing and
developed country scientists and to identify next steps, including future analysis (
FCCC/SBSTA/2002/INF.14).
At SBSTA 17 (New Delhi, October/November 2002) the SBSTA agreed, inter alia, that work on the scientific and
methodological aspects of the Proposal by Brazil should be continued by the scientific community and that
such work should be of a standard consistent with the practices of peer-reviewed published science. It
invited the scientific community, including scientific and assessment programmes, such as the International
Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP), the World
Climate Research Programme (WCRP), the International
Human Dimensions Programme on Global Environmental Change (IHDP) and the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) to provide information to Parties, and each other,
on their interests in the work. Furthermore, the SBSTA encouraged research institutions and scientists
involved to undertake further work on the Proposal by Brazil, to make results publicly available and to
report the progress of their work at SBSTA 20.
Supported by the governments of Brazil, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and Germany,
a third expert meeting on the Brazilian Proposal took place in Berlin/Germany on 8-9 September 2003.
At SBSTA 20 (Bonn, June 2004), the secretariat organized a side event on the progress made since SBSTA 17 on
the scientific and methodological aspects of the Brazilian Proposal. During this event, information on some
of the findings of the scientific work was presented.
At SBSTA 23 (Montreal November/December 2005), the secretariat provided an oral report on
activities on this issue since SBSTA 17. Furtermore, the SBSTA decided to return to the consideration
of this item at its 24th session (May 2006).
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