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ACTIVITIES IMPLEMENTED JOINTLY(AIJ)
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Uniform Reporting Format:
Activities Implemented Jointly Under the Pilot Phase
List of Projects
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Name of Organization or Individual
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Country
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Government of Bolivia (GOB)
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Bolivia
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Fundación Amigos de la Naturaleza (FAN)
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Bolivia
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC)
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U.S.A.
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American Electric Power System (AEP)
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U.S.A.
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PacifiCorp
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U.S.A.
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BP Amoco
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U.K.
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Item
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Organization
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Name of organization (original language)
or
Name of individual if unaffiliated with any organization
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Gobierno de Bolivia
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Name of organization (English)
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Government of Bolivia
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Acronym (original language)
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GDB
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Acronym (English)
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GOB
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Department
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Ministry of Sustainable Development and Planning
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Function(s) within the AIJ project activities
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Project Board Member
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Street
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City
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La Paz
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State
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Post code
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Country
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Bolivia
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Telephone
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Fax
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E-mail
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World Wide Web-URL address
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Administrative Officer Responsible for the Project
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Surname
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MacLean
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First name, middle name
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Ronald
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Job title
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Minister of Sustainable Development and Planning
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Direct telephone
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Direct fax
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Direct e-mail
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Contact Person for AIJ Activities (if different from the Administrative Officer)
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Surname
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Roca Hurtado
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First name, middle name
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Neisa
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Job title
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Vice Minister of Environment, Natural Resources and Forest Development
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Direct telephone
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Direct fax
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Direct e-mail
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Item
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Organization
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Name of organization (original language)
or
Name of individual if unaffiliated with any organization
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The Nature Conservancy
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Name of organization (English)
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The Nature Conservancy
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Acronym (original language)
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TNC
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Acronym (English)
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TNC
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Department
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Function(s) within the AIJ project activities
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Project development, technical assistance, funds management, project board member
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Street
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4245 North Fairfax Drive
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City
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Arlington
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State
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Virginia
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Post code
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22203-1606
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Country
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USA
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Telephone
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703-841-5300
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Fax
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703-841-4880
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E-mail
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World Wide Web-URL address
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http://www.tnc.org
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Administrative Officer Responsible for the Project
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Surname
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Coda
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First name, middle name
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Mike
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Job title
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Director, Climate Change Program
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Direct telephone
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Direct fax
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Direct e-mail
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Contact Person for AIJ Activities (if different from the Administrative Officer)
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Surname
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Fistenberg
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First name, middle name
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Eric
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Job title
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Project Manager
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Direct telephone
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703-841-2038
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Direct fax
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703-841-4880
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Direct e-mail
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efirstenberg@tnc.org
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Item
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Organization
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Name of organization (original language)
or
Name of individual if unaffiliated with any organization
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American Electric Power System
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Name of organization (English)
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American Electric Power System
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Acronym (original language)
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AEP
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Acronym (English)
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AEP
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Department
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Function(s) within the AIJ project activities
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Financing, project board member
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Street
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1 Riverside Plaza
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City
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Columbus
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State
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Ohio
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Post code
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43215-2373
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Country
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U.S.A.
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Telephone
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Fax
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E-mail
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World Wide Web-URL address
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Administrative Officer Responsible for the Project
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Surname
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Draper, Jr.
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First name, middle name
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E. Linn
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Job title
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Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer of American Electric Power Company,
Inc. and American Electric Power Service Corporation
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Direct telephone
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Direct fax
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Direct e-mail
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Contact Person for AIJ Activities (if different from the Administrative Officer)
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Surname
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Pruett
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First name, middle name
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Jay
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Job title
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Manager, Environmental Stewardship
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Direct telephone
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214-777-1175
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Direct fax
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214-777-1380
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Direct e-mail
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japruett@aep.com
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Item
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Organization
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Name of organization (original language)
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Name of individual if unaffiliated with any organization
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PacifiCorp
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Name of organization (English)
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PacifiCorp
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Acronym (original language)
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None
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Acronym (English)
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None
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Department
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Function(s) within the AIJ project activities
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Financing, project board member
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Street
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825 NE Multnomah, Suite 2000
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City
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Portland
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State
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Oregon
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Post code
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97322-2155
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Country
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Telephone
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Fax
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E-mail
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World Wide Web-URL address
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Administrative Officer Responsible for the Project
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Surname
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Edmonds.
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First name, middle name
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Bill
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Job title
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Direct telephone
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503-813-5291
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Direct fax
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503-813-5272
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Direct e-mail
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bill.Edmonds@pacificorp.com
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Contact Person for AIJ Activities (if different from the Administrative Officer)
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Surname
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(Same as above)
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First name, middle name
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Job title
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Direct telephone
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Direct fax
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Direct e-mail
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Item
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Organization
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Name of organization (original language)
or
Name of individual if unaffiliated with any organization
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BP Amoco
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Name of organization (English)
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BP Amoco
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Acronym (original language)
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Acronym (English)
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Department
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Function(s) within the AIJ project activities
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Financing, project board member
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Street
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801 Warrenville Road
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City
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Lisie
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State
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Illinois
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Post code
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60532
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Country
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U.S.A.
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Telephone
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Fax
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E-mail
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World Wide Web-URL address
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Administrative Officer Responsible for the Project
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Surname
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Kraisinger
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First name, middle name
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Donna
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Job title
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Director, External Relations, HSE, North America
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Direct telephone
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213-486-2351
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Direct fax
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213-486-6402
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Direct e-mail
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kraisidl@bp.com
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Contact Person for AIJ Activities (if different from the Administrative Officer)
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Surname
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First name, middle name
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Job title
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Direct telephone
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Direct fax
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Direct e-mail
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5. Description of AIJ project activities
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Item
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Type of Project
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Sector(s)
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Land-use change and forestry
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Primary activity(ies)
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Forest preservation, reforestation, park expansion, and sustainable forest product enterprise
development
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Project Location
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Country
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Bolivia
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Exact location (city, state, region)
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Province of Velasco, the eastern-most province of the Department of Santa Cruz
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Key Dates and Current Stage of Project
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Project starting date (month/year)
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January 1997
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Project ending date (month/year)
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December 2026
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Project lifetime (years)
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30
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Current stage of project
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In progress
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General Project Description and Technical Data
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The project has three GHG mitigation components.
Component A of the project will involve the following activities: 1) completing the process of
indemnifying and retiring logging concessions on 634,287 hectares (ha)(a) of tropical forest
located adjacent to the Noel Kempff Mercado National Park, 2) expanding the boundaries of the Park
by 842,095 ha, which includes the 634,287 ha of newly indemnified concession area, 3) establishing
a short-term protection plan for the Park expansion area, and 4) establishing the legal framework
necessary for implementation of Component B.
Component B of the project will preserve and protect the carbon sequestered on the 1,523,466 ha of
the expanded Park over 30 years. To ensure the long-term protection of the expanded Park, the
project will establish a mix of income generating activities, including: 1) establishing a Park
protection endowment fund, 2) generating profit from a new genetic resources enterprise, and 3)
constructing the infrastructure necessary to support a model eco-tourism program within the Park.
Component C of the project will mitigate GHG emissions in secondary areas beyond the boundaries of
the expanded Park. This Component is designed to ensure that the net GHG mitigation achieved
through Component A and B activities are protected from significant leakages. This Component will
provide alternative, environmentally sustainable economic opportunities for the local population,
and technical assistance to the indemnified concessionaires to implement sustainable forest
management practices.
In addition to the GHG mitigation components discussed above, the project involves some general
measures, which fall under Component G of the project. This Component will establish a
comprehensive and verifiable GHG monitoring, record keeping, and reporting regime for the project.
In addition, Component G will designate a portion of overall project funds to cover the
administrative costs incurred by the Government of Bolivia to review and oversee project activities
over the lifetime of the project.
Although GHG emission reductions and carbon sequestration are anticipated to occur within both the
existing Park and the Park expansion area, the project will only claim GHG benefits associated with
activities within the Park expansion area.
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(a) This estimate is different from the original estimate of 639,056 ha provided in the project
proposal and indicated in the report submitted to the UNFCCC in 1997.
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6. Cost
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(a) Explanation of methodology for calculating cost data
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Methodology for Calculating Cost Data
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Project start-up costs were estimated to be US$9.5 million at the beginning of the project, with a
portion of these up-front costs dedicated to establishing long-term funding mechanisms for the
project. Total project costs were estimated to be significantly greater than US$9.5 million over
the 30-year life of the project, and are to be covered by the long-term funding mechanisms.
Start-up cost estimates were based on a variety of factors, including the following:
Indemnification: Value of remaining harvestable timber on the concessions that were
terminated, and the value of infrastructure (e.g., bridges, roads, sawmills, etc.) developed and
paid for by the former concessionaires.
Short-term management and protection: Budget estimates for 5 years of park management and
infrastructure improvements were based on FAN’s previous years of experience in park
management, and the budget was determined considering only the costs to manage the expansion area
of the park under the assumption that FAN would continue to receive or obtain from other sources
the funding to manage the original area of the park.
Endowment Fund: The capital amount to establish a park endowment was determined to ensure an
estimated minimum of US$75,000 per year to support the park in perpetuity.
Ecotourism Development: Estimates were made to finalize needed infrastructure to ensure
adequate facilities that could generate revenues for the park.
FAN R&D and Natural Resources Enterprise: US$1.2 million in investments was split evenly
between R&D and capitalization of a new Bolivian company. The R&D effort supports basic
research on the park and Bolivian species, and searches for potentially commercial products to be
marketed by the company. The new company, Canopy Botanicals, was capitalized with US$600,000 and is
able to seek additional capital if necessary.
Leakage Prevention with Communities and Ex-Concessionaires: About 10% of the project budget
is dedicated to mitigating potential greenhouse gas leakages, and was budgeted to support a
community program for 5 years.
GHG Monitoring: Nearly 20% of the total start-up project budget was dedicated to GHG
monitoring, based on the commitment to prove that carbon benefits from this type of forest project
are measurable, credible, and verifiable. The budget was developed assuming intensive monitoring
activities using both in-country and international experts in years 1,3,5, and then every 5 years
after that over 30 years. The entire project-monitoring budget was included in the start-up US$9.5
million cost estimate.
JI Institutional Development: Funds were allocated to the Government of Bolivia to ensure
they had the capacity to manage such projects, and to support other general efforts to protect
biodiversity in Bolivia.
TNC Project Administrative Costs: Budget includes costs of direct project administration for
3-5 years only. Administrative costs of the Project Manager organization (FAN) are embedded in the
components managed directly by FAN.
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(b) Cost data–Project development
Project development costs surpassed US$320,000 over a period of approximately 1.5 years.
(c) Cost data–Project implementation
Project start-up costs were recalculated and raised to a total of US$9.6 million in 1998, with the
Conservancy and FAN committing to raising US$2.6 million (US$100,000 more than originally planned)
for the project.
Total project costs for 30 years are currently being projected, but are estimated to reach up to
US$15 million, with funding coming from the endowment, Canopy Botanicals, and ecotourism revenues.
In addition, American Electric Power and Electric Power Research Institute are funding a
complementary project for US$500,000 over 3 years to conduct research on the use of aerial
videography for carbon monitoring in Noel Kempff.
Total annual implementation costs to date, including establishment of endowment, Canopy Botanicals,
and completion of ecotourism infrastructure, have been:
- US$2,671,141
- US$2,608,547
- US$1,140,019
Itemized Project Implementation Costs
7. Monitoring and verification of AIJ project activities and results
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Item
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Party(ies) that will be monitoring project activities
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FAN and the Project Implementation Team (to be appointed by the participants).
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Party(ies) that will be externally verifying project results
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The Government of Bolivia will verify that they are not in agreement with results, specifically
with carbon-offset claims. In March 2000, The Nature Conservancy convened a panel of external
experts (Technical Advisory Panel) to critically review and comment on the technical monitoring
aspects of the project, and their comments and recommendations are currently being compiled and
incorporated into project monitoring plans and activities. The Technical Advisory Panel is a first
step towards external verification by a third party.
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Date when the monitoring plan became (or will become) operational (month/year)
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April 1997
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Types of data that will be collected
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Carbon (C) changes in primary terrestrial pools (aboveground biomass and necromass, belowground
biomass, soils, and the forest floor); tree population structure and growth; changes in land cover,
land-use, and land management; natural disturbances; climate; changes in relevant laws and
policies; and socioeconomic trends and impacts on C sources and sinks.
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Description of Monitoring and Verification Activities and Schedule for Implementation
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The comprehensive draft monitoring and verification plan was developed by May 1997 and
implementation began in 1997 with fieldwork and analysis to establish the baseline. The monitoring
and verification plan includes specifications for: 1) monitoring forest biomass and carbon content
of other forest components; 2) monitoring of secondary impact parameters; 3) establishing and
maintaining monitoring plots; 4) conducting quality assurance tests and quality control procedures;
and 5) developing a summary of the equations that will be used to convert raw data to
CO2-equivalent units.
Monitoring tasks will include: 1) routinely tracking the data elements for C contents, flux rates,
and secondary impacts at three locations within the project area; 2) verifying the assumptions made
to establish the project reference case emissions and secondary impacts projections, and correcting
or improving assumptions, as needed; and 3) comparing the documented changes in total C and
secondary impacts at the three monitoring locations and making necessary adjustments to the
reference case.
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Item
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Please check one of the following.
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This report is a first report.
or
This report is an intermediate report.
or
This report is a final report.
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Please check one of the following:
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This report is a joint report. Letter(s) of approval of this report from the designated national
authority of the other Party(ies) involved in the activity is (are) attached in Section J, Annex.
or
This report is a separate report.
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Additional comments (if any):
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C. Compatibility with, and supportiveness of, national economic development and socioeconomic and
environmental priorities and strategies
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Compatibility with Economic Development and Socioeconomic and Environmental Priorities
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The project developers indicate that all aspects of the project have been designed to conform with
the conservation goals of the Bolivian Government, as well as Bolivia’s Popular Participation
and Forestry Laws. Moreover, Component G of the project will provide funding to assist the Bolivian
Government in strengthening its AIJ institutional capacity to further the country’s
sustainable development goals and the GHG mitigation objectives of the UNFCCC.
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D. Environmental, social/cultural, and economic impacts of the AIJ project
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Non-Greenhouse-Gas Environmental Impacts of the Project
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The project will protect biodiversity and wildlife habitat, improve water and air quality, and
stabilize the soil in the expanded Noel Kempff Mercado National Park.
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Social/Cultural Impacts of the Project
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In addition to involving the local communities in Park protection and eco-tourism activities, the
project will introduce a community development program designed to improve the local standards of
living. This program will be implemented in coordination with the local government. The project
will ensure that the expanded Park does not become a development magnet that will increase the
local population to unsustainable levels. Project developers will also work with the local
communities to: secure community property rights; implement sustainable uses of community land;
strengthen community organizations; improve basic health and education services; and establish
environmental education programs.
The project will also help to protect important Guarasug’we cultural vestiges (e.g.,
ceremonial items used in burials) located in the northeastern corner of the Park expansion area.
These vestiges have significant anthropological value to the local cultural heritage. Although the
Guarasug’we people are considered culturally extinct, elements of their culture are still
present in the area.
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Economic Impacts of the Project
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The project will provide new sustainable employment opportunities for the local population in Park
protection, construction, transportation, agroforestry and eco-tourism micro enterprise formation,
and the commercialization of genetic resources. For example, the project has established a new
venture, Canopy Botanicals, SRL, to commercialize green products. In addition to generating income
for the Park, Canopy Botanicals will provide local employment opportunities. Similarly, development
of the Park’s eco-tourism infrastructure, and training in tourism business development will
provide opportunities to establish eco-tourism micro-enterprises and will assist the local
population in gaining access to investment capital.
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E. Greenhouse gas impacts of the AIJ project
1. Scenario description
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Item
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Site Designation
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Site number (order of presentation in this report)
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1 of 3
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Site name/designation
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Component A, Park Expansion Area
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Project sector
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Land-use change and forestry
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Reference Scenario
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Primary activity(ies)
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Logging, timber stock depletion
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Has the reference scenario changed since the last report? (If yes, explain any changes below.)
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Yes
No
This is the first project report.
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Description:
The project developers assume that without the project, 296,099 hectares (ha) of accessible
commercial forest lands within the Park expansion area would be harvested in 29,610 ha blocks each
year over a 10 year period. After all blocks have been cut, the proposal assumes that logging
activities would return to the first block, where trees that have reached the legally extractable
class would be harvested. In the original project proposal and in the report submitted to the
UNFCCC in 1997, the project developers assumed that by 2005, harvest intensity would decrease as
all timber stocks are depleted. Developers now anticipate that harvesting activities will decrease
from 2007 and onward, as only younger trees with the minimum-harvesting diameter are removed.
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Predicted Project Scenario
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Primary activity(ies)
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Short-term forest preservation and Park expansion
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Description:
Component A of the project is anticipated to complete the process of indemnifying and retiring
logging concessions on 634,287 ha of tropical forest located adjacent to the Noel Kempff Mercado
National Park. This estimate is different from the original estimate of 639,056 ha provided in the
project proposal and reported in the report submitted to the UNFCCC in 1997. In addition, this
Component is expected to expand the boundaries of the Park by 842,095 ha to include: 1) the 634,287
ha of newly indemnified concession area, 2) a previously indemnified concession area, 3) two
conservation reserves, and 4) a private land holding. Through the cessation of logging activities
on the 296,099 ha of accessible commercial forestlands within the Park expansion area, Component A
is projected to mitigate GHG emissions that would have occurred in the reference scenario. A
short-term protection plan for the Park expansion area is expected to assure that the GHG
mitigation achieved through the indemnification and Park expansion are preserved (a long-term
conservation and management regime is expected to be established under Component B).
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Actual Project
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Primary activity(ies)
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Short-term forest preservation and Park expansion
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Description:
The project has retired logging concessions within the 296,099 ha of accessible commercial
forestlands within the Park expansion area. In addition, a short-term protection plan has been
initiated to prevent burning and clearing of forest within the expansion area for agricultural use.
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Item
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Site Designation
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Site number (order of presentation in this report)
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2 of 3
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Site name/designation
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Component B, Park Expansion Area
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Project sector
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Land-use change and forestry
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Reference Scenario
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Primary activity(ies)
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Burning of depleted forest area, conversion to agricultural lands
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Has the reference scenario changed since the last report? (If yes, explain any changes below.)
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Yes
No
This is the first project report.
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Description:
In the absence of the project, the project developers assume that by 2007, the timber stocks
available on the 296,099 ha of accessible commercial forestlands within the Park expansion would be
nearly depleted. Despite lower birth rates, increased migration into the area will fuel increases
in the population surrounding the Park. Population growth coupled with reductions in harvesting
opportunity would lead to gradual small farmer penetration and burning and clearing of forests
within the expansion area for colonization, followed by larger scale mechanized agriculture and
cattle ranching. Already, 375 ha of forestland within the area have been cleared for agricultural
use.
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Predicted Project Scenario
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Primary activity(ies)
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Long-term forest preservation
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Description:
Component B of the project is expected to preserve and protect the carbon sequestered on the
1,523,466 ha of the expanded Park over a period of 30 years. To ensure the long-term protection of
the expanded Park, the project will establish a mix of income generating activities to finance the
long-term protection of the expanded Park. These activities are projected to generate GHG benefits
by: 1) averting conversion of land from forests to agriculture, and 2) assuring the long-term
protection of existing carbon stocks within the Park.
Although the project measures may allow the carbon stored in both forest cover and soil to increase
overtime, the direction and magnitude of these changes are presently unknown. Thus, the project
developers assume that the carbon stocks within the expanded Park are currently in a state of
equilibrium and GHG benefits associated with potential carbon stock increases are not measured.
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Actual Project
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Primary activity(ies)
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Long-term forest preservation
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Description:
The project has retired all logging concessions on the 296,099 ha of accessible commercial
forestlands with the Park Expansion area. FAN is working to establish a mix of income generating
activities to finance the long-term protection of the expanded Park.
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Item
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Site Designation
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Site number (order of presentation in this report)
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3 of 3
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Site name/designation
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Component C, Sustainable Community Development and Leakage Prevention
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Project sector
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Land-use change and forestry
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Reference Scenario
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Primary activity(ies)
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Non-sustainable logging and slash and burn agriculture
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Has the reference scenario changed since the last report? (If yes, explain any changes below.)
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Yes
No
This is the first project report.
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Description:
Without the project, the project developers assume that some members of the community living within
and beyond the Expanded Park boundaries would continued to be employed by timber companies, which
have been identified for indemnification as part of Component A of the project. The project
developers assume that others within the local community would continue to be involved in
non-sustainable slash-and-burn agriculture and the extraction of heart-of-palm within the Park.
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Predicted Project Scenario
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Primary activity(ies)
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Technical assistance and training
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Description:
Component C of the project is anticipated to reduce increases of GHG emissions within and beyond
the boundaries of the expanded Park. This Component is designed to ensure that the net GHG
mitigation achieved through Component A and B activities are protected from significant leakages.
Component C activities include: 1) providing short-term assistance to help local communities that
now depend on logging to transition to alternative, environmentally-sustainable economic
activities; 2) creating opportunities for micro-enterprise development; and 3) providing technical
assistance to the indemnified concessionaires to implement sustainable forest management practices.
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Actual Project
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|
Primary activity(ies)
|
Technical assistance and training
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|
Description:
Of the four logging concessions retired by the project, three of the concessionaires have gone
bankrupt. Projects funds paid to these concessionaires to cease logging activities on the project
area were used to pay off concessionaires’ debts rather than to relocate logging activities
to other areas. FAN is monitoring the activities of the concessionaire that is still in operation
and plans to provide technical assistance to the concessionaire in sustainable forest management.
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2. GHG emission/sequestration calculation methodology
|
GHG Emission/Sequestration Calculation Methodology
|
|
Site number
|
1 of 3
|
|
Project sector
|
Land-use change and forestry
|
|
Description of Calculation Methodology for the Reference Scenario
|
|
The project developers assume that without the project, 296,099 ha of accessible commercial
forestlands within the Park expansion area would be harvested in 29,610 ha blocks each year over
the next 10 years. To develop the reference scenario emission estimates for Component A, the
project developers first estimated carbon stocks at the Component A project site. Estimates of
carbon stored in above- and belowground biomass within the Component A project area are based on a
baseline inventory conducted in 1997 using data collected from 625 permanent plots and a general
biomass equation for moist tropical forests (Brown, 1997). The density of above- and belowground
biomass was then multiplied by the standard carbon-to-biomass ratio of 0.5 t C / 1 t dm to convert
to tonnes of carbon.
The baseline inventory report estimates total biomass in forest types most likely to be logged
commercially to be 250 t C/ha. The inventory report assumes 5.7 t C/ha of timber will be extracted
during logging. The estimate of biomass extraction is based on data on remaining exploitable land
with commercially attractive timber types in the Expansion area (296,099 ha) and reported
extraction rates (Halloy, S. 1994, Flores and Miranda 1994).
In addition to the 5.7 t C/ha lost due to timber extraction, it is assumed that carbon will be lost
as biomass is destroyed during the extraction process. The estimate of biomass destroyed in the
logging process, 2.8 t C/ha per tonne of timber extracted, was developed from permanent plots
established in a recently logged area adjacent to the expansion zone. Thus, total biomass carbon
lost during logging is estimated to be 21.6 t C/ha (=5.7 t C/ha + (5.7 t C/ha * 2.8 t C/ha). Rather
than take into account the potential for carbon storage in the harvested biomass, and the slow
release of carbon over time as the destroyed and harvested biomass decay, the project developers
assume that the biomass carbon immediately oxidizes.
The project developers assume that the 296,099 ha of accessible commercial forestlands would be
harvested in 29,610 ha blocks each year over the next 10 years. After all blocks have been cut, it
is assumed that logging activities would return to the first block, where trees that have reached
the legally extractable class would be harvested. By 2007, the project developers assume that
harvest intensity would decrease as all timber stocks are depleted. Harvesting activities from 2007
and onward would involve only the removal of younger trees with the minimum-harvesting diameter.
To estimate the annual biomass carbon losses associated with logging activities, the project
developers multiplied the annual estimate of biomass carbon lost per hectare (this amount is
highest between 1997 and 2007 due to a greater logging intensity) by the annual amount of hectares
logged. Assuming that 50% of the biomass carbon extracted is recovered at the sawmill and stored in
long-lived products, the project developers estimate carbon losses associated with reference case
logging activity in the Park expansion area over the 30 year project lifetime to be 11,879,804 t C
or 43,559,281 t CO2.
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Description of Calculation Methodology for the Project Scenario
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|
The project is anticipated to generate carbon benefits by ceasing logging activities in the Park
expansion area (Component A).
Although the project measures may allow the carbon stored in both forest cover and soil to increase
over time, the magnitude of these changes is presently unknown. Thus, the project developers assume
that the carbon stocks at the project site are currently in a state of equilibrium and GHG benefits
associated with potential carbon stock increases are not measured. This is a conservative
assumption that results in an underestimate of benefits.
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|
The quantity of carbon stored as a result of the project is estimated as the difference between
what would have been lost in the reference scenario, and current carbon stocks. Thus, net project
GHG benefits over the 30-year project lifetime are anticipated to be equal to the emissions that
were estimated to occur in the reference scenario, which as indicated are 11,879,804 t C or
43,559,281 t CO2.
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Description of Calculation Methodology for the Actual Project
|
|
A GHG inventory was conducted on the project site over a six-month period between May and October
1997. The data gathered during this inventory was used to improve the GHG calculations described
above. Subsequent inventories are planned for future years during the same season.
|
|
GHG Emission/Sequestration Calculation Methodology
|
|
Site number
|
2 of 3
|
|
Project sector
|
Land-use change and forestry
|
|
Description of Calculation Methodology for the Reference Scenario
|
|
Once timber stocks are depleted on the 296,099 ha of accessible commercial forest lands, the
developers anticipate gradual small farmer penetration and burning and clearing of forests within
the expansion area for colonization, followed by larger-scale mechanized agriculture and cattle
ranching. Already, 375 ha of forestland within the area have been cleared for agricultural use. The
project developers estimated carbon losses in each major pool (i.e., aboveground biomass,
necromass, soil) due conversion of 13,915 ha of the project to agricultural lands.
Based on population growth data, the project developers estimated the number of hectares cleared
annually for agricultural uses. In addition, the project developers estimated that 203 t C/ha would
be lost due to land conversion. This estimate is based on the assumption that, due to land
conversion of the logged areas, 100% of carbon stored in aboveground biomass (183 t C/ha), 50% of
soil carbon (17 t C/ha), and 90% of necromass (3 t C/ha), will be lost.
To calculate annual carbon losses due to land conversion, the project developers multiplied 203 t
C/ha by the number of hectares estimated to be cleared in a given year. Over the 30-year project
lifetime, the project developers estimate that 2,824,745 t C or 10,357,398 t CO2 would
be emitted as the logged project area was converted to agricultural land.
In the absence of the project, the project developers assume that by 2007, the timber stocks
available on the 296,099 ha of accessible commercial forestlands within the Park expansion would be
nearly depleted. Population growth coupled with reductions in harvesting opportunity would lead to
gradual small farmer penetration and burning and clearing of forests within the expansion area for
colonization and agricultural use.
The developers estimate the amount of N2O-C equivalent emitted as the depleted forest
area is burned and converted to agricultural lands based on the assumption that 183 t C/ha of
aboveground biomass will be lost due to burning. Of this 183 t C/ha emitted, the developers assume
that 28 t N20-C equivalent / ha is released. To calculate annual N2O
emissions due to land forest burning, the project developers multiplied 28 t N20-C
equivalent / ha by the number of hectares estimated to be burned in a given year. Over the 30-year
project lifetime, the project developers estimate 389,620 t N2O-C equivalent or
1,428,607 t N2O-CO2 equivalent would be emitted due to burning of the logged
project area.
Based on the above calculations, the project developers estimate total emissions associated with
burning and clearing of forests within the expansion area, followed by larger scale mechanized
agriculture and cattle ranching, to be 3,214,365 t C, or 11,786,005 t CO2.
The proposal does not estimate NOx, CO, or CH4 emissions released as the
depleted forest area is burned and converted to agricultural lands in the reference scenario.
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|
Description of Calculation Methodology for the Project Scenario
|
|
The project is expected to preserve and protect the carbon sequestered on the 1,523,466 ha of the
expanded Park over a period of 30 years (Component B). Although the project measures may allow the
carbon stored in both forest cover and soil to increase over time, the magnitude of these changes
is presently unknown. Thus, the project developers assume that the carbon stocks within the
expanded Park are currently in a state of equilibrium and GHG benefits associated with potential
carbon stock increases are not measured. This is a conservative assumption that results in an
underestimate of benefits.
The quantity of carbon stored as a result of the project measures is estimated as the difference
between what would have been lost in the reference scenario, and current carbon stocks. Thus, net
project GHG benefits are anticipated to be equal to the emissions that were estimated to occur in
the reference scenario¾ 3,214,365 t C, or 11,786,005 t CO2.
|
|
Description of Calculation Methodology for the Actual Project
|
|
A GHG inventory was conducted on the project site over a six-month period between May and October,
1997. The data gathered during this inventory was used to improve the GHG calculations described
above. Subsequent inventories are planned for future years during the same season.
|
|
GHG Emission/Sequestration Calculation Methodology
|
|
Site number
|
3 of 3
|
|
Project sector
|
Land-use change and forestry
|
|
Description of Calculation Methodology for the Reference Scenario
|
|
This information is not yet available.
|
|
Description of Calculation Methodology for the Project Scenario
|
|
This information is not yet available.
|
|
Description of Calculation Methodology for the Actual Project
|
|
This information is not yet available.
|
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3. GHG emission/sequestration data
-
(a) Reporting of GHG emissions/sequestration
Annual estimates are still under development. Cumulative GHG benefits associated with the project
are anticipated to be 15,094,169 t C-equivalent or 55,345,286 t CO2-equivalent. This
estimate is based on 53,916,679 t CO2 and 4,608 t N2O (equivalent to
1,428,607 t CO2).
(b) Additional information on GHG emissions/sequestration
|
Indirect or Secondary GHG Impacts (Positive and Negative)
|
|
Increases in GHG emissions in secondary areas (adjacent forest reserve and communities west of the
Park) are expected to occur over time. These increases are not likely to be directly related to the
implementation of the project measures, but instead are expected to result from the expansion of
agricultural activities towards the Park borders, and the expansion of regional timber activities.
However, the project may indirectly affect GHG emissions in the secondary areas if indemnified
concessionaires use the proceeds of the Component A indemnification to expand their operations
elsewhere. The potential for such an impact is limited due to legal and zoning constraints within
the Department of Santa Cruz. In addition, implementation of Component C of the project, which will
provide technical assistance to the indemnified concessionaires to implement sustainable forest
management practices, may reduce these secondary emissions.
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|
Factors That Could Cause the Future Loss or Reversal of GHG Benefits
|
|
With the exception of natural disaster, the principle factors that would cause the direct loss of
GHG benefits achieved by the project stem from human activity within the Park boundaries.
|
|
Strategy for Reducing the Risk of Future Loss or Reversal of GHG Benefits
|
|
FAN will implement a Park management regime to mitigate project risks associated with anthropogenic
impacts and natural occurrences. Under this management regime, FAN will conduct the following
measures to minimize these risks: maintenance and protection of standing biomass, fire control,
Park access control, fire management and ranger training, and management training for operators of
permitted activities.
In addition, Component C of the project is designed to reduce increases of GHG emissions within and
beyond the boundaries of the expanded Park. The activities conducted under Component C are
discussed in Section A.5. and E.1 of this document.
|
|
Funding Source
|
Country of Funding Source
|
Amount
($US)
|
Percent of Total Funding
(%)
|
Is This Funding Assured? (Y/N)
|
|
TNC/FAN
|
U.S./Bolivia
|
2,600,000
|
27
|
Y
|
|
Industry Partners
|
U.S.
|
7,000,000
|
73
|
Y
|
|
Total
|
|
9,600,000
|
100
|
|
-
2. Assessment of additional funding needs
|
Current or Planned Activities to Obtain Additional Funding
|
|
The project is fully funded and all project funds are assured.
|
-
G. Contribution to capacity building and technology transfer
|
Contribution to Capacity Building and Technology Transfer
|
|
Component G of the project will contribute to institutional capacity building by providing funds to
the Government of Bolivia to cover costs associated with project review, approval, and oversight
over the project lifetime. By covering these costs, the project will assist the Government in
obtaining accurate AIJ pilot phase information required to successfully implement an AIJ program
beyond the pilot phase.
In addition, FAN’s research and development work will contribute to Bolivia’s
implementation of a new environmentally sound national approach to germplasm protection and
sustainable utilization. FAN’s work will yield knowledge and expertise that can be
transferred to institutions and local and national producers through existing technology transfer
institutions, such as the Bolivian Sustainable Forestry Project (BOLFOR), and through the
Park’s management activities and community programs.
|
-
H. Recent developments, technical difficulties, and obstacles encountered
|
Recent Project Developments
|
|
Kenneth MacDicken, from Winrock International, visited Santa Cruz and the Noel Kempff Park
Expansion Area between April 20 and May 11, 1997 and conducted the following activities: 1)
provided training in forest carbon monitoring techniques and global positioning system receiver use
to FAN and other staff who will be involved in project monitoring; 2) collected and analyzed data
for the reference scenario; 3) collected map and vegetation type data for use in designing the
monitoring plan; 4) delivered carbon monitoring equipment purchased in the U.S. to FAN; and 5)
identified initial plot locations using the vegetation map and known road locations.
In addition, Winrock International technical staff conducted a carbon stock inventory over a
six-month period between May and October, 1997. The data collected during this inventory was used
to update the GHG estimates provided in this report.
In 1999, a more thorough carbon inventory was conducted in reference case plots in order to collect
data on actual logging impacts in a nearby logging concession. This inventory is critical to
estimate what logging impacts in the project area would have been without the project, and to track
how logging impacts change over time in the reference case plots. Additional work was also done to
develop and access better information needed to construct 30-year projections of the
without-project scenario, such as how concessionaires might have responded to recent forestry
legislation in the project area.
In March 2000, an external Technical Advisory Panel, consisting of the following individuals, was
convened by The Nature Conservancy expressly to review the carbon benefits analyses being
undertaken in two AIJ pilot projects in which the Conservancy is a participant, the Noel Kempff
Climate Action Project in Bolivia and the Rio Bravo Carbon Sequestration Project in Belize:
- Marco Boscolo, Harvard University
- Elizabeth Losos, Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
- John Nittler, BOLFOR
- R. Neil Sampson, The Sampson Group
Pedro Maura-Costa, EcoSecurities (written comments only)
|
|
Also participating were Ken MacDicken, Center for Forest Research (CIFOR); Sandra Brown, Matt
Delaney, Mark Powell, and John Kadyszewksi, Winrock International; Oscar Paz Rada and David Choque
Cruz, Bolivian Ministry of Sustainable Development and Planning; Myrna Hall, State University of
New Yory; Vincent Palacio and Darell Novelo, Programme for Belize; Richard Vaca, Fundacion Amigos
de la Naturaleza; Bill Stanley, Tia Nelson, Mike Coda, Eric Firstenberg and Margo Burnham, The
Nature Conservancy.
Work planned for 2001 focuses on refining various quantitative analyses needed to improve baselines
for the averted logging component and for the averted land conversion component and developing
methods for tracking and estimating leakage for both the averted land conversion and averted
logging components.
No carbon inventory data will be collected in 2001. Supplemental carbon inventory data collection
will occur in 2002 or later.
|
|
Technical Difficulties and Other Obstacles Encountered
|
|
Data collected in 1999, and recent changes in the Bolivia forestry law and forestry practices in
Bolivia, have triggered the carbon monitoring team to revisit how the reference case
(without-project scenario) should be projected and tracked over time. Efforts will be focused on
this issue in the coming two years.
|
-
I. Additional information
|
Additional Information
|
|
None.
|
|
Country/Project Title
|
Name, Title, and Government Agency of the Designated National Authority
|
Date of Approval(day/month/year)
|
|
Bolivia/The Noel Kempff Mercado Climate Action Project
|
Dr. Antonio Aranibar Quiroga, Minister, Ministry of Foreign Affairs
|
14 November 1996
|
-
2. Letters of approval of this AIJ project report
- See attached letter of concurrence.
|
|