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Compendium on methods and tools to evaluate impacts of, and vulnerability and adaptation to, climate change


UKCIP02 Climate Change Scenarios
Description

The UKCIP02 climate change scenarios provide four alternative descriptions of how the climate of the UK might evolve over the course of this century.

Appropriate Use The UKCIP02 scenarios have become a standard reference for impacts and adaptation work in the UK. Ways in which they have been used can be broadly divided into research, communication and decision- and policy-making.
Scope The climate change scenarios cover only the UK (though underlying model output is also available for the Republic of Ireland), meaning their scope is limited to UK-based climate impacts and adaptation.
Key Output

The information contained in UKCIP02 is provided to users in three main ways:

Headline messages -provide a national overview of the main changes described by UKCIP02. They also include historic trends, to allow recent observations to be compared with future projections;

Published material - explains the science behind UKCIP02, examines historic climate trends in the UK and gives more information about the projected future changes. It includes a range of prepared maps & graphs to help visualise the changes described;

Numerical information - provides the basis for the changes described by UKCIP02, allowing further processing and analysis (e.g. as input to other modelling software).

Much has been converted to GIS-format files in order to facilitate its use. A series of datasets of historic climate of the UK provide information on the observed climate.

Key Input None required for headline messages and published material. Numerical information requires users to complete a registration form. Use of UKCIP02 is most effective if users dedicate some time to understand how the scenarios were produced, what they offer and the uncertainties involved. Their use is enhanced through use of the other UKCIP tools.
Ease of Use No information available
Training Required No information available
Training Available None provided
Computer Requirements No information available
Documentation UKCIP02 briefing report and science report; Scenarios Gateway web-pages (http://www.ukcip.org.uk/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=161&Itemid=287).
Applications

Set of case studies is being developed. Ways in which they have been used can be broadly divided into research, communication and decision- and policy-making.

Contacts for Framework, Documentation, Technical Assistance

Richard Westawaypdf-icon

pdf-icon Spatial aggregation of UKCP09

Cost No charge
References

Hulme et al. 2002. Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: The UKCIP02 Briefing Report. 15pp.

Hulme et al. 2002. Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: The UKCIP02 Scientific Report. 120pp.