NEGOTIATIONS
FOCUS
PROCESS
KEY STEPS
|
|
Your location: Home |
|
Compendium on methods and tools to evaluate impacts of, and vulnerability and adaptation to, climate
change
|
|
Climate Information and Prediction Services (CLIPS) Project and
Regional Climate Outlook Forums (RCOFs)
|
|
Description
|
Climate Information and Prediction Services (CLIPS) is a project of the World Meteorological
Organization (WMO) designed to assist in the provision of climate information and predictions for
improved economic and social decision making, and thereby support sustainable development. CLIPS
builds on the rapidly developing atmospheric and oceanographic research (e.g. atmospheric
predictability beyond weather prediction, ocean predictability, regional circulation indices such
as ENSO and NAO, ocean-atmosphere interactions, etc.) as well as the wealth of climate data,
experience and expertise within the National Meteorological Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and
related entities and provides a framework to deliver operational user-targeted climate services.
The CLIPS project is an effective framework within which regional climate variability and change
information and the associated adaptation issues can be integrated. Development of training
curricula, training workshops and regional showcase projects are key components of CLIPS.
The Regional Climate Outlook Forums (RCOFs), promoted by WMO along with other international
agencies, constitute an important vehicle in developing countries for providing advanced
information on the future climate information for the next season and beyond, and for developing a
consensus product from amongst the multiple individual predictions (based on ensembles of different
dynamical climate model outputs, statistical relationships between surface ocean and continental
anomalies, validated by some human expertise) . RCOFs stimulate the development of climate capacity
in the NMHSs and facilitate end-user liaison to generate decisions and activities that mitigate the
adverse impacts of climate variability and change and help communities to build appropriate
adaptation strategies.
There is a great potential for the regional climate activities that currently take place under
RCOFs and through CLIPS training to expand, through the actions of the WMO regional associations
and the NMHSs, the use of currently available downscaling tools to more countries and to include
information on climate change scenarios assembled by the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP),
such as climate projections created for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). This would enable
NMHSs to contribute to their national communications to the UNFCCC and to develop or enhance their
dialogue with users of climate information on climate risks and vulnerability (especially their
governments), and would also support improved regional coordination on climate matters,
standardization of tools and increased evaluation (feedback) on model outputs.
While there is a range of climate modeling and downscaling tools is available today, there is as
yet no global framework to train and apply these tools to meet the user needs. CLIPS/RCOFs provide
this framework and bring value to the model applications and their data and facilitate their access
to the users.
|
|
Appropriate Use
|
It is important that appropriate partnerships with the application sectors are put in place to
understand the user needs. It is most appropriate to develop RCOFs for groups of nations having
common climate information needs.
Effective networking of the representatives of climate information providers and user sectors from
the participating countries is also essential for successful operation of RCOFs. It is important
for producers of climate predictions at seasonal to inter-annual scales to demonstrate the
potential benefit that users can draw for their application by using the forecasts. This can easily
be done using hindcasts.
|
|
Scope
|
CLIPS framework is applicable at the local, national, regional and global level. RCOFs operate at
sub-continental scale.
|
|
Key Output
|
Training workshops, CLIPS curriculum, tailored climate products, regional climate outlooks, guidance
on best practices in CLIPS operations, verification and user liaison, consensus-based climate
products (e.g., WMO El Niño/La Niña Updates and seasonal climate outlooks issued by the
RCOFs), downscaled climate prediction products for national/regional levels, etc.
|
|
Key Input
|
National/regional/global climate data, climate prediction products from WMO Global Producing Centres
(GPCs) for long range forecasts and WMO Regional Climate Centres (RCCs)/RCC Networks, data on
climate-sensitive sectors for impact assessment.
|
|
Ease of Use
|
Requires expertise in climate processes, analysis and modeling, and knowledge of climate-related risk
management aspects.
|
|
Training Required
|
Training required in downscaling of climate prediction/projections to appropriate regional/national
scales, verification, and development of user liaison. Training is also required for the generation
of tailored climate products.
|
|
Training Available
|
WMO supports limited CLIPS training through its global series of workshops. Training is also an
integral component of the RCOF process. In addition, there are other international agencies providing
training on CLIPS- and RCOF-related topics.
|
|
Computer Requirements
|
High-performance computing facilities are required to run regional climate models. However, for
statistical downscaling and development of regional/national climate products, a personal computer
with the latest technology with relatively high processing, memory and storage capacities will be
adequate. A high-speed internet connectivity will be most essential to access global/regional climate
products.
|
|
Documentation
|
CLIPS Brochures and related guidance documents and meeting reports.
|
|
Applications
|
CLIPS has been promoted worldwide, and a number of CLIPS Focal Points exist in many countries.
RCOFs are active in Africa, South America, Central America, Asia and Pacific Islands. For more
information, please visit http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/clips/outlooks/climate_forecasts.html.
|
|
Contacts for Framework, Documentation, Technical Assistance
|
World Climate Applications & CLIPS Division
World Climate Programme Department, World Meteorological Organization,7bis, Avenue de la Paix, Case
Postale No. 2300, 1211, Geneva 2, Switzerland; Tel: +41.22.730.8377; Fax: +41.22.730.8042; e-mail:
wcac@wmo.int.
|
|
Cost
|
WMO facilitates free access to some specialized climate prediction software as well as climate
prediction/projection products, through its Members and partnering agencies. Resources will be
required to organize training sessions and RCOF operations.
|
|
References
|
CLIPS brochures and RCOF links available at WMO World Climate Applications and Services Programme
and CLIPS web pages: http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/wcasp_home_en.html.
Coping with the Climate: A Way Forward, A multi-stakeholder review of RCOFs. 2000.
http://iri.columbia.edu/outreach/publication/irireport/PretoriaSumRpt2.pdf.
Palmer, T.N., A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M.
Déqué, E. Díez, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F.
Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V.
Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres and M. C. Thomson. 2004. Development of a
European multi-model ensemble system for seasonal to inter-annual prediction (DEMETER). Bulletin of
the American Meteorological Society 85: 853-872.
http://ams.allenpress.com/amsonline/?request=get-abstract&doi=10.1175/BAMS-85-6-853.
Patt, A.G. and J. Winkler. 2007. Applying Climate Information in Africa: An Assessment of Current
Knowledge. Written in support of NOAA, Boston University and the International Institute for
Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).
http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Publications/Documents/XO-07-006.pdf.
|
|
|